Gloggnitz v Oberwart

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Oberwart win at 50%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Oberwart was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 28–22–50
3. 1′KICK-OFF Gloggnitz v Oberwart
4. 26′We said Oberwart at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 22%. 1–0 · 54–24–22
5. 26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Gloggnitz 1–0 Oberwart
6. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Oberwart win: 50% at kick-off, 22% now
7. 26′THE CALL SWINGS · 26' Gloggnitz win is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Oberwart win 22%)
8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.5 we expected. 1–0 · 55–24–21
9. 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Gloggnitz 1–1 Oberwart
10. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 30' Oberwart win: 50% at kick-off, 45% now
11. 30′THE CALL SWINGS · 30' Oberwart win is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Gloggnitz win 27%)
12. 31′We published Oberwart at 50%. Our model now makes it 73%. 0–1 · 10–18–73
13. 31′GOAL DISALLOWED · 31' Gloggnitz
14. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Oberwart win: 50% at kick-off, 73% now
15. 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Gloggnitz 1–1 Oberwart
16. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Oberwart win: 50% at kick-off, 45% now
17. 45′HALF-TIME Gloggnitz 1–1 Oberwart
18. 46′SECOND HALF Gloggnitz 1–1 Oberwart
19. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+2' Oberwart win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
20. 52′We said Oberwart at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 1–1 · 25–37–38
21. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Oberwart win 36%)
22. 61′We said Oberwart at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 23–43–34
23. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Oberwart win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
24. 68′We said Oberwart at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 20–51–29
25. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Oberwart win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
26. 79′We said Oberwart at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 13–68–19
27. 83′We said Oberwart at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 9–78–13
28. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Oberwart win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
29. 87′We said Oberwart at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 6–85–9
30. FTFULL TIME Gloggnitz 1–1 Oberwart
31. FTGloggnitz 1–1 Oberwart · Oberwart win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.