Fach-Donaufeld v Parndorf prediction · Regionalliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Fach-DonaufeldDrawParndorf

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Parndorf 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Parndorf just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Fach-Donaufeld 37%, draw 25%, Parndorf 38%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Fach-Donaufeld v ParndorfBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Fach-Donaufeld win37%

Draw25%

Parndorf win38%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 14:00

RoundOst · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Fach-Donaufeld

Parndorf

8Days since last match8

Last match: 23 Oct · Regionalliga - Ost

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Fach-Donaufeld	13	0	20
9	Parndorf	13	+5	18

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · parndorf winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Parndorf a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Fach-Donaufeld v Parndorf~~1.36 – 1.38

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - Ost this season · since 18 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 20 v 18~~7 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Fach-Donaufeld win	37%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Parndorf win	38%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Fach-Donaufeld or draw	62%	–	–
Fach-Donaufeld clean sheet	26%	–	–
Parndorf clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%

0123450 6.7 9.1 6.2 2.9 1 8.9 11.8 8.1 3.8 2 6.0 8.0 5.5 2.5 3 2.8 3.7 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Fach-Donaufeld down, Parndorf across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,274 Regionalliga - Ost matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - Ost matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.8% of games this season, across 104 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2020/21 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Fach-Donaufeld at home: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Parndorf away: 0.83 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.36 goals for Fach-Donaufeld, 1.38 for Parndorf. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2020/21

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~FAC 1–4 PAR · PAR 2–1 FAC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - Ost this season · since 18 Sept

FACH-DONAUFELD

DWWLWL2–2 · 4–0 · 2–0 · 0–3 · 1–0 · 3–4

PARNDORF

LWLDLW1–3 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 5–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf	13	+21	28
2	Wiener SC	13	+16	26
3	Oberwart	13	+11	26
4	Traiskirchen	13	+5	24
5	Krems / Rehberg	13	+5	23
6	Wiener Viktoria	13	+3	20
7	Fach-Donaufeld	13	0	20
8	Scheiblingkirchen	13	−6	19
9	Parndorf	13	+5	18
10	Leobendorf	13	+2	18
11	Mattersburg SV 2020	13	−5	16
12	Donau	13	+3	15
13	Gloggnitz	13	−7	14
14	Favoritner AC	13	−9	13
15	SV Horn	13	−4	11
16	Wienerberg	13	−40	1