Fach-Donaufeld v Donau

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Fach-Donaufeld win at 55%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Fach-Donaufeld 55% before kick-off, 54% now. 0–0 · 54–21–24
3. 1′KICK-OFF Fach-Donaufeld v Donau
4. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Fach-Donaufeld win: 55% at kick-off, 45% now
5. 42′We said Fach-Donaufeld at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 1–0 · 77–17–6
6. 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Fach-Donaufeld 1–0 Donau
7. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Fach-Donaufeld win: 55% at kick-off, 77% now
8. 45′HALF-TIME Fach-Donaufeld 1–0 Donau
9. 46′We said Fach-Donaufeld at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 43%. 0–0 · 43–34–23 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
10. 46′SECOND HALF Fach-Donaufeld 1–0 Donau
11. 47′We said Fach-Donaufeld at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 1–0 · 78–17–6
12. 59′We said Fach-Donaufeld at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4
13. 66′We said Fach-Donaufeld at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 32%. 0–0 · 32–50–18
14. 67′Goalless on 67′ when we expected about 3.3 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 31–51–18
15. 69′GOAL DISALLOWED · 69' Fach-Donaufeld
16. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Fach-Donaufeld win: 55% at kick-off, 30% now
17. 69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Draw is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Fach-Donaufeld win 30%)
18. 70′We said Fach-Donaufeld at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–54–17
19. 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Fach-Donaufeld 1–0 Donau
20. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Fach-Donaufeld win: 55% at kick-off, 83% now
21. 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Fach-Donaufeld win is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Draw 14%)
22. 73′We said Fach-Donaufeld at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
23. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Fach-Donaufeld win: 55% at kick-off, 85% now
24. 80′We said Fach-Donaufeld at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 18–72–11 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
25. 81′We said Fach-Donaufeld at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
26. 88′We said Fach-Donaufeld at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
27. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Fach-Donaufeld win: 55% at kick-off, 95% now
28. 94′We said Fach-Donaufeld at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 0–0 · 2–96–1
29. 94′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+4' Fach-Donaufeld
30. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Fach-Donaufeld win: 55% at kick-off, 2% now
31. 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Draw is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Fach-Donaufeld win 2%)
32. FTFULL TIME Fach-Donaufeld 1–0 Donau
33. FTFach-Donaufeld 1–0 Donau · Fach-Donaufeld win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.