Südburgenland W v Salzburg W prediction · Frauenliga

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 16:26

Südburgenland W 0–3 Salzburg W SALZBURG W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Salzburg W win~~60%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.243

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 19 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Salzburg W win at 60%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Salzburg W 60% before kick-off, 60% now. 0–0 · 21–19–60
1′KICK-OFF Südburgenland W v Salzburg W
10′Salzburg W score on 10′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 8–13–79
10′We said Salzburg W at 60% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 79%. 0–1 · 8–13–79
10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Südburgenland W 0–1 Salzburg W
10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Salzburg W win: 60% at kick-off, 79% now
31′The goal count is tracking the 3.4 we expected. 0–1 · 7–15–79
35′Salzburg W find the net on 34′. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–5–94
35′We said Salzburg W at 60% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 0–2 · 1–5–94
35′⚽ GOAL · 34' Südburgenland W 0–2 Salzburg W
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Salzburg W win: 60% at kick-off, 94% now
38′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Südburgenland W
43′We said Salzburg W at 60% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–2 · 1–4–95
45′HALF-TIME Südburgenland W 0–2 Salzburg W
46′SECOND HALF Südburgenland W 0–2 Salzburg W
61′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Südburgenland W
62′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Salzburg W · On: K. Wienerroither · Off: E. Kobler
63′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Salzburg W · On: G. Spinn · Off: C. Gierzinger
67′A goal for Salzburg W on 67′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
67′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Südburgenland W · On: H. Maurer · Off: A. Kis
67′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Südburgenland W · On: Z. Csizmadia · Off: P. Petrovics
67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Südburgenland W 0–3 Salzburg W
67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Salzburg W win: 60% at kick-off, over 99% now
68′We said Salzburg W at 60% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–3 · 0–0–100
82′L. Triendl scores for Salzburg W on 67′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
82′We said Salzburg W at 60% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–3 · 0–0–100
82′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Südburgenland W · On: K. Greimelmaier · Off: A. Zimmermann Corrected
83′The goal count is tracking the 3.4 we expected. 0–3 · 0–0–100
84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Südburgenland W · On: K. Kremser · Off: E. Csejtei
89′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Südburgenland W
FTFULL TIME Südburgenland W 0–3 Salzburg W
FTSüdburgenland W 0–3 Salzburg W · Salzburg W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Salzburg W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Südburgenland W 21%, draw 19%, Salzburg W 60%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Südburgenland W v Salzburg WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Südburgenland W win21%

Draw19%

Salzburg W win60%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 10

Line-ups

Südburgenland W

Salzburg W

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Südburgenland W

Salzburg W

14Days since last match14

Last match: 3 Oct · Frauenliga

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Salzburg W	9	−6	13
9	Südburgenland W	9	−18	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Südburgenland W

Formation not confirmed

86 D. Schvirjan

28 M. Leitner

27 V. Beiglbock

95 V. Kovacs

11 K. Graf

74 E. Csejtei

91 P. Petrovics

5 A. Kis

42 A. Zimmermann

71 Z. Magyarics

7 V. Forobosko

Coach · Michael Thek

Substitutes

41 · L. Stadler

10 · K. Kremser

18 · H. Maurer

20 · Z. Csizmadia

29 · K. Greimelmaier

50 · J. Branz

Salzburg W

Formation not confirmed

1 V. Guha

6 L. Spinn

77 A. Hamzic

20 S. Schirmbrand

11 V. Illinger

10 A. Pamminger

4 V. Akrap

18 M. Plattner

16 C. Gierzinger

22 E. Kobler

19 L. Triendl

Coach · –

Substitutes

29 · F. Graf

2 · T. D'Angelo

7 · M. Schwarz

8 · G. Spinn

12 · K. Wienerroither

27 · L. Talwieser

38 · J. Grunwald

Our number · salzburg w winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

60% The market–

Us60%

We make Salzburg W a 60% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–2.2, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Südburgenland W v Salzburg W~~1.21 – 2.20

~~Form · last six in Frauenliga this season · since 21 Aug~~W1 D0 L5 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 5 v 13~~9 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Südburgenland W win	21%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Salzburg W win	60%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	65%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
Südburgenland W or draw	40%	–	–
Südburgenland W clean sheet	12%	–	–
Salzburg W clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.1%

0123450 3.4 8.0 7.9 5.8 3.3 1 4.7 8.2 9.1 6.6 3.8 2 2.5 5.1 5.5 4.0 2.3 3 2.2 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Südburgenland W down, Salzburg W across0–5 goals a side shown (96.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 542 Frauenliga matches up to 4 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Frauenliga matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.8% of games this season, across 43 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 5.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Südburgenland W at home: 0.83 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). Salzburg W away: 0.50 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.21 goals for Südburgenland W, 2.20 for Salzburg W. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~5.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~SAL 2–0 SUD · SAL 4–2 SUD · SUD 2–5 SAL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Frauenliga this season · since 21 Aug

SÜDBURGENLAND W

LLLLLW0–1 · 1–3 · 0–5 · 1–9 · 0–1 · 1–0

SALZBURG W

LLLDWW0–7 · 0–2 · 1–3 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	St. Pölten W	8	+23	22
2	Sturm Graz W	9	+14	20
3	Austria Wien W	8	+23	19
4	Rheindorf Altach W	8	+6	16
5	Salzburg W	9	−6	13
6	LASK W	9	−6	8
7	First Vienna W	9	−8	7
8	SK Rapid W	8	−9	6
9	Südburgenland W	9	−18	5
10	Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W	9	−19	4