Südburgenland W v First Vienna W prediction · Frauenliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Südburgenland WDrawFirst Vienna W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · First Vienna W 64%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

First Vienna W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Südburgenland W 19%, draw 17%, First Vienna W 64%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Südburgenland W v First Vienna WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Südburgenland W win19%

Draw17%

First Vienna W win64%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Südburgenland W

First Vienna W

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · Frauenliga

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	First Vienna W	10	−8	8
9	Südburgenland W	10	−21	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · first vienna w winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

64% The market–

Us64%

We make First Vienna W a 64% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–2.6, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Südburgenland W v First Vienna W~~1.33 – 2.59

~~Form · last six in Frauenliga this season · since 29 Aug~~W1 D0 L5 · W0 D2 L4

~~Table places · points 5 v 8~~9 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Südburgenland W win	19%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
First Vienna W win	64%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	74%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	54%	–	–
Südburgenland W or draw	36%	–	–
Südburgenland W clean sheet	8%	–	–
First Vienna W clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.4%

0123450 2.0 5.8 6.7 5.7 3.8 2.01 3.2 6.5 8.4 7.1 4.7 2.62 4.4 5.5 4.7 3.1 3 2.0 2.5 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Südburgenland W down, First Vienna W across0–5 goals a side shown (93.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 548 Frauenliga matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Frauenliga matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.0% of games this season, across 49 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 5.17 goals a meeting; 5 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Südburgenland W at home: 0.67 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). First Vienna W away: 1.67 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.33 goals for Südburgenland W, 2.59 for First Vienna W. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~5.17

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~FIR 1–1 SUD · FIR 3–0 SUD · FIR 4–1 SUD · SUD 3–8 FIR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Frauenliga this season · since 29 Aug

SÜDBURGENLAND W

LLLLWL1–3 · 0–5 · 1–9 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 0–3

FIRST VIENNA W

DLLLLD1–1 · 1–4 · 0–4 · 2–3 · 1–3 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sturm Graz W	11	+21	26
2	St. Pölten W	10	+24	25
3	Austria Wien W	10	+26	23
4	Salzburg W	11	+1	19
5	Rheindorf Altach W	10	+4	17
6	LASK W	11	−8	11
7	First Vienna W	10	−8	8
8	SK Rapid W	10	−13	7
9	Südburgenland W	10	−21	5
10	Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W	11	−26	4