LASK W v Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W prediction · Frauenliga

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 15:35

LASK W 3–0 Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W LASK W WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said LASK W win~~56%

~~The market said~~66%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.292

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.177

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 24 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said LASK W win at 56%.
1′Little has changed for our model: LASK W 56% before kick-off, 56% now. 0–0 · 56–24–21
1′KICK-OFF LASK W v Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W
29′A goal for LASK W on 29′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 80–15–5
29′⚽ GOAL · 29' LASK W 1–0 Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W
29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' LASK W win: 56% at kick-off, 80% now
30′We said LASK W at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–15–5
30′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 80–15–5
45′HALF-TIME LASK W 1–0 Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W
46′SECOND HALF LASK W 1–0 Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W
50′LASK W score on 49′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 97–3–0
50′We said LASK W at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 2–0 · 97–3–0
50′⚽ GOAL · 49' LASK W 2–0 Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' LASK W win: 56% at kick-off, 97% now
51′GOAL DISALLOWED · 51' LASK W
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' LASK W win: 56% at kick-off, 83% now
52′PENALTY MISSED · 51' LASK W
54′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W · On: L. Schubert · Off: V. Sprung
60′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W
61′LASK W score on 60′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 98–2–0
61′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W · On: D. Kittel · Off: F. Dorfer
61′⚽ GOAL · 60' LASK W 2–0 Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W
61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' LASK W win: 56% at kick-off, 98% now
66′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W · On: D. Kittel · Off: E. Makalic Corrected
67′SUBSTITUTION · 64' LASK W · On: A. Guvo · Off: L. Schoser
72′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W · On: V. Buric · Off: L. Muller
79′We said LASK W at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
89′SUBSTITUTION · 73' LASK W · On: M. Sterrer · Off: D. Tuppinger
89′SUBSTITUTION · 73' LASK W · On: A. Leitner · Off: J. Volkov
91′SUBSTITUTION · 84' LASK W · On: C. Prieler · Off: B. Bokor
91′SUBSTITUTION · 84' LASK W · On: S. Szabova · Off: L. Schmidle
93′LASK W find the net on 90′. 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' LASK W 3–0 Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W
94′3 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 3–0 · 100–0–0
FTFULL TIME LASK W 3–0 Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W
FTLASK W 3–0 Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W · LASK W win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

LASK W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: LASK W 56%, draw 24%, Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W 21%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on LASK W v Kleinmünchen / BW Linz WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

LASK W win56%

Draw24%

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W win21%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 10

Line-ups

LASK W

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

LASK W

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W

14Days since last match14

Last match: 3 Oct · Frauenliga

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	LASK W	9	−6	8
10	Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W	9	−19	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

LASK W

Formation not confirmed

1 S. Trinkl

57 L. Schoser

13 E. Kos

36 S. Raamet

15 P. Willimek

31 E. Gered

66 B. Bokor

26 J. Volkov

17 E. Herbst

19 D. Tuppinger

8 L. Schmidle

Coach · –

Substitutes

3 · M. Sterrer

18 · C. Prieler

20 · L. Kunz

21 · J. Mayer

22 · A. Guvo

28 · A. Leitner

55 · S. Szabova

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W

Formation not confirmed

77 J. Forstner

17 A. Hofschweiger

5 E. Makalic

21 J. Niedermayr

74 L. Kammerer

2 L. Muller

19 F. Dorfer

6 V. Sprung

32 L. Krinzinger

18 L. Nimmrichter

9 S. Lackner

Coach · –

Substitutes

10 · E. Avdic

13 · D. Kittel

22 · V. Buric

23 · L. Schubert

25 · L. Enzinger

70 · J. Schaur

Our number · lask w winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

56% The market66%

Us56%

~~Market~~66%

We make LASK W a 56% chance to win. The market has them at 66%. We are 10 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–0.9.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · LASK W v Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W~~1.64 – 0.86

~~Form · last six in Frauenliga this season · since 22 Aug~~W1 D2 L3 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 8 v 4~~6 v 10

~~The market · LASK W win~~66% · ours 56%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · LASK W win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 66% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
LASK W win	56%	66%	−10
Draw	24%	19%	+5
Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W win	21%	15%	+6
Over 2.5 goals	45%	66%	−21
Both teams to score	44%	61%	−17
Over 1.5 goals	70%	85%	−15
Over 3.5 goals	25%	49%	−24
LASK W or draw	79%	85%	−6
LASK W clean sheet	44%	–	–
Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.3%

0123450 8.5 7.7 3.1 1 14.3 10.4 4.8 2 10.9 8.8 3.9 3 6.0 4.8 2.1 4 2.6 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+LASK W down, Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 542 Frauenliga matches up to 4 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Frauenliga matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.8% of games this season, across 43 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 2.43 goals a meeting; 4 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

LASK W at home: 0.33 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W away: 0.67 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.64 goals for LASK W, 0.86 for Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~2.43

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 7

~~Both scored~~3 of 7

~~Last meetings~~KLE 2–3 LAS · KLE 0–1 LAS · KLE 3–0 LAS · LAS 1–0 KLE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Frauenliga this season · since 22 Aug

LASK W

LDLDWL0–2 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 3–2 · 0–1

KLEINMÜNCHEN / BW LINZ W

WDLLLL1–0 · 1–1 · 0–4 · 0–2 · 0–4 · 1–6

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	St. Pölten W	8	+23	22
2	Sturm Graz W	9	+14	20
3	Austria Wien W	8	+23	19
4	Rheindorf Altach W	8	+6	16
5	Salzburg W	9	−6	13
6	LASK W	9	−6	8
7	First Vienna W	9	−8	7
8	SK Rapid W	8	−9	6
9	Südburgenland W	9	−18	5
10	Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W	9	−19	4