Austria Wien W v Rheindorf Altach W prediction · Frauenliga

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53

Austria Wien W 1–1 Rheindorf Altach W AUSTRIA WIEN W WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Austria Wien W win~~82%

~~The market said~~86%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.467

~~The market’s Brier score~~1.566

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 21 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Austria Wien W win at 82%.
1′Much as we predicted: Austria Wien W was 82% before kick-off and our model makes it 82% now. 0–0 · 82–11–7
1′KICK-OFF Austria Wien W v Rheindorf Altach W
25′SUBSTITUTION · 24' Rheindorf Altach W · On: M. Bertsch · Off: P. Mikulica
31′🟨 YELLOW · 30' Rheindorf Altach W
33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Austria Wien W win: 82% at kick-off, 72% now
35′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Rheindorf Altach W
37′We said Austria Wien W at 82%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 70%. 0–0 · 70–22–8
39′We said Austria Wien W at 82%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 69%. 0–0 · 69–23–8
39′Austria Wien W find the net on 39′. 1–0. 1–0 · 92–7–1
39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Austria Wien W 1–0 Rheindorf Altach W
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Austria Wien W win: 82% at kick-off, 92% now
41′Austria Wien W ahead on 40′ through L. Cordes. 1–0. 1–0 · 92–7–1
45′HALF-TIME Austria Wien W 1–0 Rheindorf Altach W
46′SECOND HALF Austria Wien W 1–0 Rheindorf Altach W
47′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Austria Wien W
49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Austria Wien W · On: V. Potzl · Off: L. Schoffel
65′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Rheindorf Altach W · On: A. Baumgartner · Off: J. Meister
65′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Austria Wien W · On: A. Sisic · Off: M. Uka
68′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Austria Wien W
74′We published Austria Wien W at 82%. Our model now makes it 94%. 1–0 · 94–6–0
78′We published Austria Wien W at 82%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
83′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Austria Wien W · On: L. Orkic · Off: E. Pfattner
83′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Rheindorf Altach W · On: S. Schneider · Off: V. Ellgass
92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Austria Wien W
94′A goal for Rheindorf Altach W on 90′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 3–96–1
94′We said Austria Wien W at 82%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 1–1 · 3–96–1
94′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Austria Wien W 1–1 Rheindorf Altach W
94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Austria Wien W win: 82% at kick-off, 3% now
94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Draw is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Austria Wien W win 99%)
FTFULL TIME Austria Wien W 1–1 Rheindorf Altach W
FTAustria Wien W 1–1 Rheindorf Altach W · Austria Wien W win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Austria Wien W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Austria Wien W 82%, draw 11%, Rheindorf Altach W 6%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 40%.

The AI’s read on Austria Wien W v Rheindorf Altach WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Austria Wien W win82%

Draw11%

Rheindorf Altach W win6%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 11

VenueGenerali Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Austria Wien W

Rheindorf Altach W

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Frauenliga

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Austria Wien W	9	+26	22
4	Rheindorf Altach W	9	+4	16

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · austria wien w winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:12 · locked at kick-off

82% The market86%

Us82%

~~Market~~86%

We make Austria Wien W an 82% chance to win. The market has them at 86%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 3.0–0.6.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Austria Wien W v Rheindorf Altach W~~2.97 – 0.60

~~Form · last six in Frauenliga this season · since 29 Aug~~W5 D1 L0 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 22 v 16~~2 v 4

~~The market · Austria Wien W win~~86% · ours 82%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Austria Wien W win The market, margin stripped

Published at 80%, 82% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 86% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Austria Wien W win	82%	86%	−4
Draw	11%	10%	+1
Rheindorf Altach W win	6%	4%	+2
Over 2.5 goals	67%	75%	−8
Both teams to score	40%	42%	−2
Over 1.5 goals	85%	89%	−4
Over 3.5 goals	47%	56%	−9
Austria Wien W or draw	94%	96%	−2
Austria Wien W clean sheet	56%	–	–
Rheindorf Altach W clean sheet	6%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 12.2%

0123450 3.2 2.3 1 9.2 5.2 2 12.2 7.1 2.4 3 11.4 6.4 2.1 4 8.5 4.5 5 5.4 2.7

under 2% 5% 12%+Austria Wien W down, Rheindorf Altach W across0–5 goals a side shown (90.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 548 Frauenliga matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Frauenliga matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.0% of games this season, across 49 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 3.25 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Austria Wien W at home: 3.00 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Rheindorf Altach W away: 1.17 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.97 goals for Austria Wien W, 0.60 for Rheindorf Altach W. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~3.25

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~0 of 4

~~Last meetings~~AUS 2–0 RHE · RHE 0–3 AUS · RHE 0–3 AUS · AUS 5–0 RHE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Frauenliga this season · since 29 Aug

AUSTRIA WIEN W

DWWWWW1–1 · 5–0 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 6–0 · 3–0

RHEINDORF ALTACH W

DWWWWL2–2 · 3–1 · 4–0 · 1–0 · 6–1 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sturm Graz W	11	+21	26
2	Austria Wien W	9	+26	22
3	St. Pölten W	9	+20	22
4	Rheindorf Altach W	9	+4	16
5	Salzburg W	10	−3	16
6	LASK W	11	−8	11
7	First Vienna W	10	−8	8
8	SK Rapid W	9	−9	7
9	Südburgenland W	10	−21	5
10	Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W	10	−22	4