Grazer AK v SCR Altach prediction · Cup

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Grazer AKDrawSCR Altach

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Grazer AK 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Grazer AK are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Grazer AK 40%, draw 30%, SCR Altach 29%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Grazer AK v SCR AltachBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Grazer AK win40%

Draw30%

SCR Altach win29%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 18:00

RoundRound of 16

VenueMerkur-Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Grazer AK

SCR Altach

3Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · the Austrian Bundesliga

Last match: 23 Oct · the Austrian Bundesliga

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · grazer ak winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Grazer AK a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Grazer AK v SCR Altach~~1.30 – 1.07

~~Form · Cup this season · since 24 July~~W2 D0 L0 · W2 D0 L0

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Grazer AK win	40%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
SCR Altach win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	42%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
Grazer AK or draw	71%	–	–
Grazer AK clean sheet	34%	–	–
SCR Altach clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.3%

0123450 10.8 8.6 5.4 1 10.7 14.3 6.9 2.5 2 7.9 8.4 4.5 3 3.4 3.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Grazer AK down, SCR Altach across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,033 Bundesliga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Bundesliga matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.8% of games this season, across 58 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.67 goals a meeting; 5 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Grazer AK at home: 1.67 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). SCR Altach away: 0.33 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.30 goals for Grazer AK, 1.07 for SCR Altach. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.67

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 9

~~Both scored~~7 of 9

~~Last meetings~~SCR 1–2 GRA · GRA 2–2 SCR · SCR 1–0 GRA · GRA 3–1 SCR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season · since 24 July

GRAZER AK

WW4–0 · 2–0

SCR ALTACH

WW1–0 · 7–0

Grazer AK v SCR Altach

The match pulse

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Pre-match prediction

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Rest & schedule

Grazer AK

SCR Altach

The game in numbers

Line-ups

Match statistics

Line-ups

What the number rests on

Head to head

Form · Cup this season · since 24 July