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TSV Hartberg v Wolfsberger AC
TSV Hartberg
Wolfsberger ACBundesliga · SAT 24 OCT · Profertil Arena
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said TSV Hartberg win at 41%.
- 2′Little has changed for our model: TSV Hartberg 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–28–31
- 2′KICK-OFF TSV Hartberg v Wolfsberger AC
- 37′8 shots for TSV Hartberg, 3 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 36–35–29
- 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was TSV Hartberg win 36%)
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+8' TSV Hartberg win: 41% at kick-off, 31% now
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.8 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 31–44–25
- 58′We said TSV Hartberg at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–47–24
- 58′TSV Hartberg have had 15 attempts to 6 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 29–47–24
- 61′16 shots for TSV Hartberg, 6 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 28–49–23
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' TSV Hartberg · On: Tobias Kainz · Off: Jonas Karner
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' TSV Hartberg · On: Andrija Radulovic · Off: Benjamin Markus
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Wolfsberger AC · On: Matteo Kitz · Off: Sankara William Karamoko
- 67′We said TSV Hartberg at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–55–20
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' TSV Hartberg win: 41% at kick-off, 21% now
- 74′We said TSV Hartberg at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–64–16
- 75′20 shots for TSV Hartberg, 6 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 19–66–16
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Wolfsberger AC · On: Emanuel Agyeman · Off: Dominik Fitz
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Wolfsberger AC · On: Phillip Verhounig · Off: Giacomo Vrioni
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' TSV Hartberg · On: Oliver Lukic · Off: Nikolaus Feldhofer
- 80′We said TSV Hartberg at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–75–12
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' TSV Hartberg win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Wolfsberger AC · On: Marco Schabauer · Off: Simon Piesinger
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Wolfsberger AC · On: Luca Hassler · Off: Aaron Sky Schwarz
- 84′We said TSV Hartberg at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–83–8
- 85′We said TSV Hartberg at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 1–0 · 93–7–0
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' TSV Hartberg · On: Augustín Urrutia · Off: Youba Diarra
- 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' TSV Hartberg 1–0 Wolfsberger AC
- 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' TSV Hartberg win: 41% at kick-off, 93% now
- 85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' TSV Hartberg win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 85%)
- 86′Konstantin Schopp scores for TSV Hartberg on 85′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 94–6–0
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' TSV Hartberg win: 41% at kick-off, 94% now
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' TSV Hartberg · On: Jed Drew · Off: Magnus Dalpiaz
- 88′We said TSV Hartberg at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- FTFULL TIME TSV Hartberg 1–0 Wolfsberger AC
- FTTSV Hartberg 1–0 Wolfsberger AC · TSV Hartberg win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
TSV Hartberg are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: TSV Hartberg 41%, draw 27%, Wolfsberger AC 31%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
TSV Hartberg win41%
Wolfsberger AC win31%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 16:00
RoundMatchday 10
VenueProfertil Arena
RefereeJosef Spurny
Match timeline
All events
TSV HartbergMIN
Wolfsberger ACEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
TSV Hartberg
Wolfsberger AC
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
TSV Hartberg
Wolfsberger AC
Last match: 16 Oct · the Austrian Bundesliga
Last match: 18 Oct · the Austrian Bundesliga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
TSV Hartberg
Formation not confirmed
6 Habib Coulibaly
91 Á. Pécsi
4 B. Markuš
14 P. Komposch
17 J. Karner
22 M. Hoffman
7 A. Gattermayer
95 Nikolaus Feldhofer
5 Y. Diarra
16 M. Dalpiaz
27 K. Schopp
Coach · M. Schopp
Substitutes
20 · Paul Bratschko
11 · J. Drew
23 · T. Kainz
10 · O. Lukic
21 · L. Marić
2 · L. Pazourek
49 · A. Radulović
19 · L. Spendlhofer
9 · A. Urrutia
Wolfsberger AC
Formation not confirmed
12 L. Gliklich
10 D. Avdijaj
6 R. Behounek
15 Cheikh Mamadou Diabaté
36 D. Fitz
49 S. Karamoko
8 S. Piesinger
11 A. Schwarz
30 M. Sulzner
31 F. Wohlmuth
9 G. Vrioni
Coach · M. Schmid
Substitutes
25 · Adama Dramé
1 · L. Gütlbauer
7 · L. Hassler
35 · Matteo Kitz
32 · M. Pink
17 · Marco Schabauer
20 · T. Schriebl
23 · P. Verhounig
34 · E. Agyemang
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
TSV Hartberg
Formation not confirmed
6 Habib Coulibaly
91 Á. Pécsi
4 B. Markuš
14 P. Komposch
17 J. Karner
22 M. Hoffman
7 A. Gattermayer
95 Nikolaus Feldhofer
5 Y. Diarra
16 M. Dalpiaz
27 K. Schopp
Coach · M. Schopp
Substitutes
20 · Paul Bratschko
11 · J. Drew
23 · T. Kainz
10 · O. Lukic
21 · L. Marić
2 · L. Pazourek
49 · A. Radulović
19 · L. Spendlhofer
9 · A. Urrutia
Wolfsberger AC
Formation not confirmed
12 L. Gliklich
10 D. Avdijaj
6 R. Behounek
15 Cheikh Mamadou Diabaté
36 D. Fitz
49 S. Karamoko
8 S. Piesinger
11 A. Schwarz
30 M. Sulzner
31 F. Wohlmuth
9 G. Vrioni
Coach · M. Schmid
Substitutes
25 · Adama Dramé
1 · L. Gütlbauer
7 · L. Hassler
35 · Matteo Kitz
32 · M. Pink
17 · Marco Schabauer
20 · T. Schriebl
23 · P. Verhounig
34 · E. Agyemang
We make TSV Hartberg a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| TSV Hartberg win | 41% | 49% | −8 |
| Draw | 27% | 25% | +2 |
| Wolfsberger AC win | 31% | 26% | +5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 58% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 60% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 79% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 37% | −5 |
| TSV Hartberg or draw | 69% | 74% | −5 |
| TSV Hartberg clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
| Wolfsberger AC clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Bundesliga this season · since 22 Aug
TSV HARTBERG
WOLFSBERGER AC
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 9 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 9 | +17 | 21 |
| 3 | Lask Linz | 9 | +14 | 19 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 9 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 | Ried | 9 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 | WSG Wattens | 9 | −2 | 11 |
| 7 | TSV Hartberg | 9 | −4 | 11 |
| 8 | SCR Altach | 10 | −6 | 9 |
| 9 | Grazer AK | 9 | −15 | 9 |
| 10 | Austria Lustenau | 9 | −8 | 8 |
| 11 | Austria Vienna | 10 | −10 | 7 |
| 12 | Wolfsberger AC | 9 | −11 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Rapid Vienna
Red Bull Salzburg
Lask Linz
Sturm Graz
Ried
WSG Wattens
SCR Altach
Grazer AK
Austria Lustenau
Austria Vienna