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Austria Lustenau v Lask Linz
Austria Lustenau
Lask LinzBundesliga · SAT 17 OCT · Planet Pure Stadion
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Lask Linz win at 52%.
- 2′Much as we predicted: Lask Linz was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 23–25–52
- 2′KICK-OFF Austria Lustenau v Lask Linz
- 17′🟨 YELLOW · 16' Danilo Soares · Austria Lustenau
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Lask Linz win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Austria Lustenau 0–0 Lask Linz
- 45′SECOND HALF Austria Lustenau 0–0 Lask Linz
- 46′Lask Linz have had 10 attempts to 0 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 22–37–41
- 48′We said Lask Linz at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 40%. 0–0 · 21–38–40
- 51′We said Lask Linz at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 21–40–39
- 52′Lask Linz have had 12 attempts to 0 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 21–40–39
- 55′We expected about 3.0 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 20–42–37
- 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Lask Linz win 37%)
- 56′We published Lask Linz at 52%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 4–16–80
- 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Austria Lustenau 0–1 Lask Linz
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Lask Linz win: 52% at kick-off, 80% now
- 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Lask Linz win is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Draw 16%)
- 57′Lask Linz ahead on 56′ through Sasa Kalajdzic. 0–1. 0–1 · 4–16–80
- 58′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Florian Flecker · Lask Linz
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Lask Linz win: 52% at kick-off, 82% now
- 64′We published Lask Linz at 52%. Our model now makes it 97%. 0–2 · 0–3–97
- 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Austria Lustenau 0–2 Lask Linz
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Lask Linz win: 52% at kick-off, 97% now
- 65′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 0–2 · 0–2–97
- 66′Samuel Adeniran scores for Lask Linz on 64′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–2–97
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Lask Linz · On: Andres Andrade · Off: Melayro Bogarde
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Lask Linz · On: Kasper Jorgensen · Off: Florian Flecker
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Lask Linz · On: Xavier Mbuyamba · Off: João Victor Tornich
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Austria Lustenau · On: Albin Gashi · Off: Alieu Conateh
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Austria Lustenau · On: Seydou Diarra · Off: Matthias Maak
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Lask Linz · On: Christoph Lang · Off: Samuel Adeniran
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Austria Lustenau · On: Emmanuel Chukwu · Off: Niklas Pertlwieser
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Austria Lustenau · On: Precious Benjamin · Off: Antonio Verinac
- 82′We published Lask Linz at 52%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Lask Linz · On: Naël Mamadou Lamine Kane · Off: Sasa Kalajdzic
- 88′That is 3, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 0–3 · 0–0–100
- 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Austria Lustenau 0–3 Lask Linz
- 90′88′: Christoph Lang on the scoresheet for Lask Linz, making it 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
- 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Austria Lustenau · On: Pius Grabher · Off: Lord Afrifa
- 94′4 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 0–4 · 0–0–100
- 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Austria Lustenau 0–4 Lask Linz
- FTFULL TIME Austria Lustenau 0–4 Lask Linz
- FTAustria Lustenau 0–4 Lask Linz · Lask Linz win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassLask Linz are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Austria Lustenau 23%, draw 25%, Lask Linz 52%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 58%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Austria Lustenau win23%
Lask Linz win52%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 16:00
RoundMatchday 9
VenuePlanet Pure Stadion
RefereeEmil Ristoskov
Match timeline
All events
Austria LustenauMIN
Lask LinzEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Austria Lustenau
5-4-1
Lask Linz
3-4-1-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Austria Lustenau
Lask Linz
Last match: 11 Oct · the Austrian Bundesliga
Last match: 14 Oct · UEFA Champions League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Austria Lustenau
5-4-1
27 D. Schierl
21 Anilson
18 R. Voisine
31 M. Maak
29 N. Pertlwieser
3 Danilo Soares
11 D. Weixelbraun
20 L. Afrifa
8 D. Kacuri
10 Alieu Conateh
39 A. Verinac
Coach · M. Mader
Substitutes
14 · P. Benjamin
30 · P. Böhm
15 · E. Chukwu
24 · S. Diarra
17 · A. Gashi
7 · F. Gmeiner
23 · P. Grabher
26 · L. Ibertsberger
9 · L. Jastremski
Lask Linz
3-4-1-2
1 L. Jungwirth
23 Daniel Elfadli
43 Alemão
3 M. Freckleton
29 F. Flecker
6 M. Bogarde
30 S. Horvath
25 Y. Dibango
10 R. Ljubičić
11 S. Kalajdzic
7 S. Adeniran
Coach · D. Kühbauer
Substitutes
33 · T. Schützenauer
18 · A. Schöpf
20 · K. Jørgensen
4 · X. Mbuyamba
27 · C. Lang
45 · N. Kane
9 · K. Daněk
16 · A. Andrade
21 · M. Verhaeghe
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Austria Lustenau
5-4-1
27 D. Schierl
21 Anilson
18 R. Voisine
31 M. Maak
29 N. Pertlwieser
3 Danilo Soares
11 D. Weixelbraun
20 L. Afrifa
8 D. Kacuri
10 Alieu Conateh
39 A. Verinac
Coach · M. Mader
Substitutes
14 · P. Benjamin
30 · P. Böhm
15 · E. Chukwu
24 · S. Diarra
17 · A. Gashi
7 · F. Gmeiner
23 · P. Grabher
26 · L. Ibertsberger
9 · L. Jastremski
Lask Linz
3-4-1-2
1 L. Jungwirth
23 Daniel Elfadli
43 Alemão
3 M. Freckleton
29 F. Flecker
6 M. Bogarde
30 S. Horvath
25 Y. Dibango
10 R. Ljubičić
11 S. Kalajdzic
7 S. Adeniran
Coach · D. Kühbauer
Substitutes
33 · T. Schützenauer
18 · A. Schöpf
20 · K. Jørgensen
4 · X. Mbuyamba
27 · C. Lang
45 · N. Kane
9 · K. Daněk
16 · A. Andrade
21 · M. Verhaeghe
We make Lask Linz a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 69%. We are 17 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 67% to 69% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Lustenau win | 23% | 12% | +11 |
| Draw | 25% | 19% | +6 |
| Lask Linz win | 52% | 69% | −17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 67% | −10 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 58% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 85% | −4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 47% | −12 |
| Austria Lustenau or draw | 48% | 31% | +17 |
| Austria Lustenau clean sheet | 16% | – | – |
| Lask Linz clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Bundesliga this season · since 14 Aug
AUSTRIA LUSTENAU
LASK LINZ
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 9 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | +14 | 18 |
| 3 | Lask Linz | 8 | +10 | 16 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 5 | Ried | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | TSV Hartberg | 9 | −4 | 11 |
| 7 | Grazer AK | 8 | −10 | 9 |
| 8 | Austria Lustenau | 8 | −4 | 8 |
| 9 | WSG Wattens | 8 | −4 | 8 |
| 10 | Austria Vienna | 8 | −8 | 7 |
| 11 | SCR Altach | 8 | −4 | 6 |
| 12 | Wolfsberger AC | 8 | −9 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Rapid Vienna
Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
Ried
TSV Hartberg
Grazer AK
WSG Wattens
Austria Vienna
SCR Altach
Wolfsberger AC