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WSPG Wels v Voitsberg

WSPG Wels
2–6Full time
Voitsberg

2. Liga · FRI 23 OCT · Huber-Arena

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 20:01
WSPG Wels 2–6 Voitsberg WSPG WELS WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said WSPG Wels win44%
The market said34%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.723
The market’s Brier score0.554

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay20 notes · 32 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said WSPG Wels win at 44%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: WSPG Wels 44% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 44–25–31
  3. 1′KICK-OFF WSPG Wels v Voitsberg
  4. 3′A goal for WSPG Wels on 3′. 0–0 · 43–25–31
  5. 4′We said WSPG Wels at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 69%. 1–0 · 69–18–13
  6. 4′⚽ GOAL · 3' WSPG Wels 1–0 Voitsberg
  7. 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 4' WSPG Wels win: 44% at kick-off, 69% now
  8. 17′We said WSPG Wels at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–19–12
  9. 25′Voitsberg score on 25′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 40–30–30
  10. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' WSPG Wels 1–1 Voitsberg
  11. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' WSPG Wels win: 44% at kick-off, 40% now
  12. 27′Voitsberg find the net on 27′. 1–2. 1–2 · 16–23–60
  13. 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' WSPG Wels 1–2 Voitsberg
  14. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' WSPG Wels win: 44% at kick-off, 16% now
  15. 27′THE CALL SWINGS · 27' Voitsberg win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was WSPG Wels win 40%)
  16. 28′We said WSPG Wels at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 16%. 1–2 · 16–23–61
  17. 30′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 16–23–61
  18. 32′A goal for Voitsberg on 31′ — 1–3. 1–3 · 4–11–85
  19. 32′We said WSPG Wels at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–3 · 4–11–85
  20. 32′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 4–11–85
  21. 32′⚽ GOAL · 31' WSPG Wels 1–3 Voitsberg
  22. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' WSPG Wels win: 44% at kick-off, 4% now
  23. 39′Voitsberg score on 39′ to make it 1–4. 1–4 · 1–3–96
  24. 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' WSPG Wels 1–4 Voitsberg
  25. 40′5 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 1–4 · 1–3–97
  26. 45′HALF-TIME WSPG Wels 1–4 Voitsberg
  27. 46′SECOND HALF WSPG Wels 1–4 Voitsberg
  28. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 46' WSPG Wels
  29. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' WSPG Wels · On: P. Gobara · Off: S. Haudum
  30. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 52' WSPG Wels
  31. 57′Voitsberg find the net on 57′. 1–5. 1–5 · 0–0–100
  32. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Voitsberg · On: A. Radics · Off: P. Jager
  33. 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' WSPG Wels 1–5 Voitsberg
  34. 58′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 1–5 · 0–0–100
  35. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 63' WSPG Wels · On: D. Barlov · Off: M. Svec
  36. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 63' WSPG Wels · On: T. Sahin · Off: P. Muller
  37. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 63' WSPG Wels · On: M. Brugger · Off: M. Thurnwald
  38. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Voitsberg · On: C. Wolbl · Off: F. Schubert
  39. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Voitsberg · On: E. Neubauer · Off: T. Brukk
  40. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 77' WSPG Wels
  41. 79′🟨 YELLOW · 77' O. Kregar · WSPG Wels
  42. 84′A goal for WSPG Wels on 83′ — 2–5. 2–5 · 0–0–100
  43. 84′7 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–5 · 0–0–100
  44. 84′⚽ GOAL · 83' WSPG Wels 2–5 Voitsberg
  45. 85′N. Freund scores for WSPG Wels on 84′ — 2–5. 2–5 · 0–0–100
  46. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 82' WSPG Wels · On: Y. Mankan · Off: S. Malinowski
  47. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Voitsberg
  48. 86′Voitsberg score on 86′ to make it 2–6. 2–6 · 0–0–100
  49. 86′That is 8, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–6 · 0–0–100
  50. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Voitsberg · On: L. Zivanovic · Off: N. Vakouftsis
  51. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' WSPG Wels 2–6 Voitsberg
  52. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Voitsberg · On: J. Schriebl · Off: A. Mustafic
  53. FTFULL TIME WSPG Wels 2–6 Voitsberg
  54. FTWSPG Wels 2–6 Voitsberg · WSPG Wels win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

WSPG Wels are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: WSPG Wels 44%, draw 25%, Voitsberg 31%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on WSPG Wels v VoitsbergBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

WSPG Wels win44%
Draw25%
Voitsberg win31%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 17:30

RoundMatchday 10

VenueHuber-Arena

RefereeS. Bosnjak

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

WSPG Wels

Voitsberg

7Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · 2. Liga

Last match: 16 Oct · 2. Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
12Voitsberg9−49
14WSPG Wels9−88

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · wspg wels winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
44% The market34%
Us44%
Market34%

We make WSPG Wels a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 34%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · WSPG Wels v Voitsberg1.56 – 1.29
Form · last six in 2. Liga this season · since 21 AugW1 D2 L3 · W1 D1 L4
Table places · points 8 v 914 v 12
The market · WSPG Wels win34% · ours 44%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
25%30%35%40%45% 17 OCT 00:0123 OCT 17:08
Our probability · WSPG Wels win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 34% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
WSPG Wels win44%34%+10
Draw25%26%−1
Voitsberg win31%39%−8
Over 2.5 goals54%58%−4
Both teams to score57%61%−4
Over 1.5 goals77%78%−1
Over 3.5 goals32%37%−5
WSPG Wels or draw69%61%+8
WSPG Wels clean sheet28%––
Voitsberg clean sheet21%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%
0123450 6.1 7.4 4.8 2.1 1 9.0 11.6 7.3 3.2 2 7.1 8.9 5.7 2.5 3 3.7 4.7 3.0 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+WSPG Wels down, Voitsberg across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2023/24
Goals a meeting3.50
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsVOI 2–0 WSP · WSP 2–3 VOI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Liga this season · since 21 Aug

WSPG WELS

DLLLWD1–1 · 1–3 · 1–4 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 2–2

VOITSBERG

LLDWLL1–5 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 2–3 · 1–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1FC BW Linz9+1922
2First Vienna9+1022
3Austria Vienna (Am)9+316
4Austria Salzburg9+416
5Admira Wacker9+215
6SKU Amstetten9+314
7Wacker Innsbruck9+214
8Floridsdorfer AC9013
9FC Liefering9−213
10Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz9−211
11SKN ST. Polten9−210
12Voitsberg9−49
13Sturm Graz II9−78
14WSPG Wels9−88
15Rapid Wien II9−117
16SV Kapfenberg9−76

The competition's standings before kick-off.