Sturm Graz II v SV Kapfenberg

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sturm Graz II win at 45%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Sturm Graz II was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 45% now. 0–0 · 45–22–32
3. 1′KICK-OFF Sturm Graz II v SV Kapfenberg
4. 26′🟨 YELLOW · 26' SV Kapfenberg
5. 37′SV Kapfenberg find the net on 37′. 0–1. 0–1 · 16–23–60
6. 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Sturm Graz II 0–1 SV Kapfenberg
7. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Sturm Graz II win: 45% at kick-off, 16% now
8. 37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' SV Kapfenberg win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Sturm Graz II win 16%)
9. 38′We said Sturm Graz II at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 0–1 · 16–23–61
10. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Sturm Graz II win: 45% at kick-off, 15% now
11. 42′A goal for SV Kapfenberg on 42′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 4–10–85
12. 42′We said Sturm Graz II at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–10–85
13. 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Sturm Graz II 0–2 SV Kapfenberg
14. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Sturm Graz II win: 45% at kick-off, 4% now
15. 43′Goals are coming at about the 3.4 we expected. 0–2 · 4–10–85
16. 45′HALF-TIME Sturm Graz II 0–2 SV Kapfenberg
17. 46′B. Potnar scores for SV Kapfenberg on 41′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 4–10–86
18. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Sturm Graz II
19. 46′SECOND HALF Sturm Graz II 0–2 SV Kapfenberg
20. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Sturm Graz II · On: M. Grgic · Off: W. Lazarre
21. 53′A red card for SV Kapfenberg on 53′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–2 · 3–9–89
22. 53′🟥 RED CARD · 53' SV Kapfenberg
23. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 53' B. Potnar · SV Kapfenberg
24. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 56' SV Kapfenberg · On: A. Marinovic · Off: J. Rostas
25. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Sturm Graz II · On: J. Petritsch · Off: J. Peinhart
26. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 56' SV Kapfenberg · On: M. Pranjkovic · Off: B. Heuser
27. 63′PENALTY MISSED · 63' Sturm Graz II
28. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Sturm Graz II · On: J. Ploner · Off: T. Gurmann
29. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' SV Kapfenberg · On: F. Stauder · Off: M. Stoger
30. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' SV Kapfenberg · On: L. Coco · Off: R. Zlibanovic
31. FTFULL TIME Sturm Graz II 0–2 SV Kapfenberg
32. FTSturm Graz II 0–2 SV Kapfenberg · Sturm Graz II win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.