Home › Football › 2. Liga › SKU Amstetten v FC BW Linz

SKU Amstetten v FC BW Linz

SKU Amstetten

1–1Full time

FC BW Linz

2. Liga · FRI 9 OCT · Ertl Glas Stadion

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 20:01

SKU Amstetten 1–1 FC BW Linz FC BW LINZ WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said FC BW Linz win~~54%

~~The market said~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.964

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.840

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay0 notes · 16 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said FC BW Linz win at 54%.
45′⚽ GOAL · 41' SKU Amstetten 0–1 FC BW Linz · R. Vucic (assist A. Pasic)
45′HALF-TIME SKU Amstetten 0–1 FC BW Linz
51′🟨 YELLOW · 51' FC BW Linz
51′SECOND HALF SKU Amstetten 0–1 FC BW Linz
65′⚽ GOAL · 41' SKU Amstetten 0–1 FC BW Linz · R. Vucic (assist A. Pasic)
65′🟨 YELLOW · 51' M. Maranda · FC BW Linz
68′SUBSTITUTION · 60' FC BW Linz · On: J. Collmann · Off: Ronivaldo
72′SUBSTITUTION · 66' SKU Amstetten · On: T. Mayer · Off: J. Steiger
76′SUBSTITUTION · 72' FC BW Linz · On: K. Conte · Off: A. Tsarenko
76′SUBSTITUTION · 72' FC BW Linz · On: F. Ruschke · Off: D. Kreiker
76′⚽ GOAL · 76' SKU Amstetten 1–1 FC BW Linz
79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' SKU Amstetten · On: P. Lipczinski · Off: V. Augustus
80′SUBSTITUTION · 77' SKU Amstetten · On: A. Haider · Off: Y. Votter
89′SUBSTITUTION · 83' FC BW Linz · On: F. Ristanic · Off: R. Vucic
89′SUBSTITUTION · 83' FC BW Linz · On: D. Madritsch · Off: J. Mayer
89′SUBSTITUTION · 87' SKU Amstetten · On: L. Lanthaler · Off: F. Hajdini
FTSKU Amstetten 1–1 FC BW Linz · FC BW Linz win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

SKU Amstetten win24%

Draw22%

FC BW Linz win54%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 17:30

Venue · Ertl Glas Stadion

Referee · A. Harkam

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

SKU Amstetten

4-3-3

1 T. Estevao

2 F. Kochl

12 L. Deinhofer

15 P. Offenthaler

4 L. Wimhofer

6 F. Hajdini

18 S. Wimmer

45 V. Augustus

20 Y. Votter

9 D. Peham

10 J. Steiger

Coach · Andreas Gahleitner

Substitutes

7 · P. Lipczinski

16 · T. Mayer

19 · B. Pursall

23 · T. Turner

24 · L. Lanthaler

30 · A. Haider

36 · N. Zellhofer

FC BW Linz

3-1-4-2

26 C. Giuliani

17 A. Pasic

15 M. Maranda

22 D. Riegler

6 J. Mayer

28 D. Frieser

30 A. Tsarenko

7 E. Weinhauer

47 D. Kreiker

11 R. Vucic

9 Ronivaldo

Coach · Michael Kollner

Substitutes

1 · V. Oelz

2 · F. Strauss

8 · K. Conte

10 · F. Ristanic

18 · D. Madritsch

29 · F. Ruschke

33 · J. Collmann

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

SKU Amstetten

4-3-3

1 T. Estevao

2 F. Kochl

12 L. Deinhofer

15 P. Offenthaler

4 L. Wimhofer

6 F. Hajdini

18 S. Wimmer

45 V. Augustus

20 Y. Votter

9 D. Peham

10 J. Steiger

Coach · Andreas Gahleitner

Substitutes

7 · P. Lipczinski

16 · T. Mayer

19 · B. Pursall

23 · T. Turner

24 · L. Lanthaler

30 · A. Haider

36 · N. Zellhofer

FC BW Linz

3-1-4-2

26 C. Giuliani

17 A. Pasic

15 M. Maranda

22 D. Riegler

6 J. Mayer

28 D. Frieser

30 A. Tsarenko

7 E. Weinhauer

47 D. Kreiker

11 R. Vucic

9 Ronivaldo

Coach · Michael Kollner

Substitutes

1 · V. Oelz

2 · F. Strauss

8 · K. Conte

10 · F. Ristanic

18 · D. Madritsch

29 · F. Ruschke

33 · J. Collmann

Our number · fc bw linz winPublished 9 Oct 17:35

54% The market43%

Us54%

~~Market~~43%

We make FC BW Linz a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 12 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–2.0.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · fc bw linz win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 50% to 43% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
SKU Amstetten win	24%	32%	−8
Draw	22%	25%	−4
FC BW Linz win	54%	43%	+12
Over 2.5 goals	61%	60%	+1
Both teams to score	59%	63%	−3
Over 1.5 goals	82%	80%	+2
Over 3.5 goals	39%	39%	0
SKU Amstetten or draw	46%	57%	−12
SKU Amstetten clean sheet	15%	–	–
FC BW Linz clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.9%

0123450 4.6 8.3 8.1 5.3 2.7 1 5.2 9.9 9.4 6.1 3.1 2 3.2 5.9 5.6 3.6 3 2.5 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+SKU Amstetten down, FC BW Linz across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number7 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,238 2. Liga matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

2. Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.3% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

SKU Amstetten at home: 2.00 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). FC BW Linz away: 1.83 scored, 0.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.20 goals for SKU Amstetten, 1.96 for FC BW Linz. Most likely score 1–1.

Line-ups

Confirmed 9 Oct 17:03. The model does not read them yet, so they did not move this number.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~FCB 2–1 SKU · SKU 1–0 FCB · FCB 5–2 SKU · SKU 1–0 FCB

Form · last six in 2. Liga

SKU AMSTETTEN

WDDLWW2–1 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 4–2 · 4–3

FC BW LINZ

WWWLWW3–0 · 1–0 · 5–1 · 1–2 · 4–1 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC BW Linz	7	+16	18
2	First Vienna	7	+7	16
3	Floridsdorfer AC	7	+3	13
4	SKU Amstetten	7	+3	12
5	Austria Vienna (Am)	7	+2	12
6	Wacker Innsbruck	7	+2	11
7	Austria Salzburg	7	+2	10
8	FC Liefering	7	−1	10
9	Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz	7	−1	10
10	SKN ST. Polten	7	0	9
11	Admira Wacker	7	−1	9
12	Voitsberg	7	−2	9
13	Sturm Graz II	7	−3	8
14	Rapid Wien II	7	−10	6
15	WSPG Wels	7	−9	4
16	SV Kapfenberg	7	−8	3