SKN ST. Polten v WSPG Wels prediction · 2. Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

SKN ST. PoltenDrawWSPG Wels

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:30

Before kick-off · Match result · SKN ST. Polten 55%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

SKN ST. Polten are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: SKN ST. Polten 55%, draw 23%, WSPG Wels 22%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on SKN ST. Polten v WSPG WelsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

SKN ST. Polten win55%

Draw23%

WSPG Wels win22%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 17:30

RoundMatchday 11

VenueNV Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

SKN ST. Polten

WSPG Wels

7Days since last match7

Last match: 23 Oct · 2. Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	SKN ST. Polten	10	−2	11
14	WSPG Wels	10	−12	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · skn st. polten winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

55% The market–

Us55%

We make SKN ST. Polten a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · SKN ST. Polten v WSPG Wels~~1.82 – 1.04

~~Form · last six in 2. Liga this season · since 28 Aug~~W3 D2 L1 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 11 v 8~~12 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
SKN ST. Polten win	55%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
WSPG Wels win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
SKN ST. Polten or draw	78%	–	–
SKN ST. Polten clean sheet	36%	–	–
WSPG Wels clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%

0123450 6.0 6.0 3.2 1 10.4 10.8 5.6 2 9.4 9.6 5.0 3 5.7 5.8 3.0 4 2.6 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+SKN ST. Polten down, WSPG Wels across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,262 2. Liga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 2. Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.8% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 2.33 goals a meeting; 1 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

SKN ST. Polten at home: 0.67 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). WSPG Wels away: 1.17 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.82 goals for SKN ST. Polten, 1.04 for WSPG Wels. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~2.33

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~SKN 1–0 WSP · WSP 1–1 SKN · WSP 2–2 SKN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Liga this season · since 28 Aug

SKN ST. POLTEN

WWWLDD1–0 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 0–0 · 1–1

WSPG WELS

LLLWDL1–3 · 1–4 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 2–6

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC BW Linz	10	+20	25
2	First Vienna	10	+12	25
3	Austria Vienna (Am)	10	+4	19
4	Admira Wacker	10	+3	18
5	SKU Amstetten	10	+4	17
6	Austria Salzburg	10	+3	16
7	Wacker Innsbruck	10	+1	14
8	FC Liefering	10	−2	14
9	Floridsdorfer AC	10	−2	13
10	Voitsberg	10	0	12
11	Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz	10	−2	12
12	SKN ST. Polten	10	−2	11
13	Sturm Graz II	10	−8	8
14	WSPG Wels	10	−12	8
15	SV Kapfenberg	10	−7	7
16	Rapid Wien II	10	−12	7