

SKN ST. Polten v Rapid Wien II
SKN ST. Polten
Rapid Wien II2. Liga · FRI 16 OCT · NV Arena
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said SKN ST. Polten win at 61%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: SKN ST. Polten 61% before kick-off, 61% now. 0–0 · 61–21–18
- 1′KICK-OFF SKN ST. Polten v Rapid Wien II
- 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' SKN ST. Polten win: 61% at kick-off, 51% now
- 41′We said SKN ST. Polten at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–32–18
- 45′HALF-TIME SKN ST. Polten 0–0 Rapid Wien II
- 46′SECOND HALF SKN ST. Polten 0–0 Rapid Wien II
- 52′We said SKN ST. Polten at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–39–17
- 53′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Rapid Wien II
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.1 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 42–41–17
- 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' SKN ST. Polten win: 61% at kick-off, 41% now
- 60′We said SKN ST. Polten at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–45–16
- 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was SKN ST. Polten win 39%)
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Rapid Wien II · On: D. Berger · Off: N. Jozepovic
- 66′We said SKN ST. Polten at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–51–15
- 66′🟨 YELLOW · 66' SKN ST. Polten
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' SKN ST. Polten · On: W. Amoah · Off: P. Rupp
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' SKN ST. Polten · On: L. Hartwig · Off: M. Kolodziejczyk
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' SKN ST. Polten win: 61% at kick-off, 31% now
- 72′We said SKN ST. Polten at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–59–13
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 73' SKN ST. Polten · On: L. Buchegger · Off: A. Borkovic
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 73' SKN ST. Polten · On: J. Wanner · Off: L. Gabbichler
- 76′We said SKN ST. Polten at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–65–11
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Rapid Wien II · On: F. Silber · Off: D. Polke
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' SKN ST. Polten win: 61% at kick-off, 21% now
- 80′We said SKN ST. Polten at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 18–73–9
- 83′We said SKN ST. Polten at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–80–6
- 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' SKN ST. Polten win: 61% at kick-off, 11% now
- 87′We said SKN ST. Polten at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–86–4
- 87′🟨 YELLOW · 87' SKN ST. Polten
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 86' SKN ST. Polten · On: T. Altersberger · Off: D. Gabriel Jesus
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Rapid Wien II · On: S. Ozvold · Off: E. Tutunci
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Rapid Wien II · On: E. Rahmani · Off: E. Jakupi
- 92′We said SKN ST. Polten at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–94–2
- FTFULL TIME SKN ST. Polten 0–0 Rapid Wien II
- FTSKN ST. Polten 0–0 Rapid Wien II · SKN ST. Polten win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassSKN ST. Polten are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: SKN ST. Polten 61%, draw 21%, Rapid Wien II 18%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 55%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
SKN ST. Polten win61%
Rapid Wien II win18%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 17:30
RoundMatchday 9
VenueNV Arena
RefereeM. Gachter
Match timeline
All events
SKN ST. PoltenMIN
Rapid Wien IIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
SKN ST. Polten
Rapid Wien II
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
SKN ST. Polten
Rapid Wien II
Last match: 9 Oct · 2. Liga
Last match: 10 Oct · 2. Liga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
SKN ST. Polten
Formation not confirmed
1 C. Knett
4 N. Szerencsi
15 S. Skogen
6 A. Borkovic
19 P. Rupp
27 M. Kolodziejczyk
34 L. Krasniqi
10 M. Stendera
22 E. H. Mane
45 D. Gabriel Jesus
11 L. Gabbichler
Coach · Cem Sekerlioglu
Substitutes
32 · M. Kurz
5 · L. Buchegger
7 · W. Amoah
18 · T. Altersberger
20 · J. Halmich
28 · L. Hartwig
77 · J. Wanner
Rapid Wien II
Formation not confirmed
49 L. Orgler
15 D. Mahiya
47 A. Groller
6 K. Yeboah
61 E. Tutunci
8 O. Thiero
28 L. Szladits
41 D. Polke
10 E. Music
16 E. Jakupi
26 N. Jozepovic
Coach · Jurgen Kerber
Substitutes
44 · M. Fellner
9 · P. Moizi
12 · F. Silber
21 · D. Berger
22 · E. Rahmani
32 · S. Ozvold
54 · R. Kerschbaum
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
SKN ST. Polten
Formation not confirmed
1 C. Knett
4 N. Szerencsi
15 S. Skogen
6 A. Borkovic
19 P. Rupp
27 M. Kolodziejczyk
34 L. Krasniqi
10 M. Stendera
22 E. H. Mane
45 D. Gabriel Jesus
11 L. Gabbichler
Coach · Cem Sekerlioglu
Substitutes
32 · M. Kurz
5 · L. Buchegger
7 · W. Amoah
18 · T. Altersberger
20 · J. Halmich
28 · L. Hartwig
77 · J. Wanner
Rapid Wien II
Formation not confirmed
49 L. Orgler
15 D. Mahiya
47 A. Groller
6 K. Yeboah
61 E. Tutunci
8 O. Thiero
28 L. Szladits
41 D. Polke
10 E. Music
16 E. Jakupi
26 N. Jozepovic
Coach · Jurgen Kerber
Substitutes
44 · M. Fellner
9 · P. Moizi
12 · F. Silber
21 · D. Berger
22 · E. Rahmani
32 · S. Ozvold
54 · R. Kerschbaum
We make SKN ST. Polten a 61% chance to win. The market has them at 62%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 2.0–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 62% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| SKN ST. Polten win | 61% | 62% | −1 |
| Draw | 21% | 21% | 0 |
| Rapid Wien II win | 18% | 18% | 0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 67% | −8 |
| Both teams to score | 55% | 63% | −8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 84% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 47% | −10 |
| SKN ST. Polten or draw | 82% | 82% | 0 |
| SKN ST. Polten clean sheet | 37% | – | – |
| Rapid Wien II clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 2. Liga this season · since 14 Aug
SKN ST. POLTEN
RAPID WIEN II
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC BW Linz | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 2 | First Vienna | 8 | +9 | 19 |
| 3 | Austria Vienna (Am) | 8 | +3 | 15 |
| 4 | Wacker Innsbruck | 8 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 | Floridsdorfer AC | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 6 | Austria Salzburg | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | SKU Amstetten | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Liefering | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 9 | Admira Wacker | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 8 | −2 | 10 |
| 11 | SKN ST. Polten | 8 | −2 | 9 |
| 12 | Voitsberg | 8 | −3 | 9 |
| 13 | Sturm Graz II | 8 | −5 | 8 |
| 14 | WSPG Wels | 8 | −8 | 7 |
| 15 | Rapid Wien II | 8 | −11 | 6 |
| 16 | SV Kapfenberg | 8 | −9 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
FC BW Linz
First Vienna
Austria Vienna (Am)
Wacker Innsbruck
Floridsdorfer AC
Austria Salzburg
SKU Amstetten
FC Liefering
Admira Wacker
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Voitsberg
Sturm Graz II
WSPG Wels
SV Kapfenberg