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SKN ST. Polten v Rapid Wien II

SKN ST. Polten
0–0Full time
Rapid Wien II

2. Liga · FRI 16 OCT · NV Arena

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 20:01
SKN ST. Polten 0–0 Rapid Wien II SKN ST. POLTEN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said SKN ST. Polten win61%
The market said62%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.032
The market’s Brier score1.043

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 22 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said SKN ST. Polten win at 61%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: SKN ST. Polten 61% before kick-off, 61% now. 0–0 · 61–21–18
  3. 1′KICK-OFF SKN ST. Polten v Rapid Wien II
  4. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' SKN ST. Polten win: 61% at kick-off, 51% now
  5. 41′We said SKN ST. Polten at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–32–18
  6. 45′HALF-TIME SKN ST. Polten 0–0 Rapid Wien II
  7. 46′SECOND HALF SKN ST. Polten 0–0 Rapid Wien II
  8. 52′We said SKN ST. Polten at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–39–17
  9. 53′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Rapid Wien II
  10. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.1 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 42–41–17
  11. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' SKN ST. Polten win: 61% at kick-off, 41% now
  12. 60′We said SKN ST. Polten at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–45–16
  13. 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was SKN ST. Polten win 39%)
  14. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Rapid Wien II · On: D. Berger · Off: N. Jozepovic
  15. 66′We said SKN ST. Polten at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–51–15
  16. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 66' SKN ST. Polten
  17. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' SKN ST. Polten · On: W. Amoah · Off: P. Rupp
  18. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' SKN ST. Polten · On: L. Hartwig · Off: M. Kolodziejczyk
  19. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' SKN ST. Polten win: 61% at kick-off, 31% now
  20. 72′We said SKN ST. Polten at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–59–13
  21. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 73' SKN ST. Polten · On: L. Buchegger · Off: A. Borkovic
  22. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 73' SKN ST. Polten · On: J. Wanner · Off: L. Gabbichler
  23. 76′We said SKN ST. Polten at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–65–11
  24. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Rapid Wien II · On: F. Silber · Off: D. Polke
  25. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' SKN ST. Polten win: 61% at kick-off, 21% now
  26. 80′We said SKN ST. Polten at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 18–73–9
  27. 83′We said SKN ST. Polten at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–80–6
  28. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' SKN ST. Polten win: 61% at kick-off, 11% now
  29. 87′We said SKN ST. Polten at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–86–4
  30. 87′🟨 YELLOW · 87' SKN ST. Polten
  31. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 86' SKN ST. Polten · On: T. Altersberger · Off: D. Gabriel Jesus
  32. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Rapid Wien II · On: S. Ozvold · Off: E. Tutunci
  33. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Rapid Wien II · On: E. Rahmani · Off: E. Jakupi
  34. 92′We said SKN ST. Polten at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–94–2
  35. FTFULL TIME SKN ST. Polten 0–0 Rapid Wien II
  36. FTSKN ST. Polten 0–0 Rapid Wien II · SKN ST. Polten win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

SKN ST. Polten are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: SKN ST. Polten 61%, draw 21%, Rapid Wien II 18%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on SKN ST. Polten v Rapid Wien IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

SKN ST. Polten win61%
Draw21%
Rapid Wien II win18%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 17:30

RoundMatchday 9

VenueNV Arena

RefereeM. Gachter

Line-ups

SKN ST. Polten

Rapid Wien II

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

SKN ST. Polten

Rapid Wien II

7Days since last match6

Last match: 9 Oct · 2. Liga

Last match: 10 Oct · 2. Liga

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
11SKN ST. Polten8−29
15Rapid Wien II8−116

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

SKN ST. Polten

Formation not confirmed

1 C. Knett

4 N. Szerencsi

15 S. Skogen

6 A. Borkovic

19 P. Rupp

27 M. Kolodziejczyk

34 L. Krasniqi

10 M. Stendera

22 E. H. Mane

45 D. Gabriel Jesus

11 L. Gabbichler

Coach · Cem Sekerlioglu

Substitutes

32 · M. Kurz

5 · L. Buchegger

7 · W. Amoah

18 · T. Altersberger

20 · J. Halmich

28 · L. Hartwig

77 · J. Wanner

Rapid Wien II

Formation not confirmed

49 L. Orgler

15 D. Mahiya

47 A. Groller

6 K. Yeboah

61 E. Tutunci

8 O. Thiero

28 L. Szladits

41 D. Polke

10 E. Music

16 E. Jakupi

26 N. Jozepovic

Coach · Jurgen Kerber

Substitutes

44 · M. Fellner

9 · P. Moizi

12 · F. Silber

21 · D. Berger

22 · E. Rahmani

32 · S. Ozvold

54 · R. Kerschbaum

Our number · skn st. polten winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
61% The market62%
Us61%
Market62%

We make SKN ST. Polten a 61% chance to win. The market has them at 62%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 2.0–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · SKN ST. Polten v Rapid Wien II2.05 – 1.01
Form · last six in 2. Liga this season · since 14 AugW3 D0 L3 · W1 D0 L5
Table places · points 9 v 611 v 15
The market · SKN ST. Polten win62% · ours 61%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60%65% 10 OCT 03:5416 OCT 17:03
Our probability · SKN ST. Polten win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 62% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
SKN ST. Polten win61%62%−1
Draw21%21%0
Rapid Wien II win18%18%0
Over 2.5 goals59%67%−8
Both teams to score55%63%−8
Over 1.5 goals81%84%−3
Over 3.5 goals37%47%−10
SKN ST. Polten or draw82%82%0
SKN ST. Polten clean sheet37%––
Rapid Wien II clean sheet13%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.8%
0123450 4.9 4.8 2.5 1 9.7 9.7 4.9 2 9.8 9.7 4.9 3 6.7 6.6 3.3 4 3.5 3.4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+SKN ST. Polten down, Rapid Wien II across0–5 goals a side shown (97.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.75
Over 2.54 of 8
Both scored3 of 8
Last meetingsSKN 4–0 RAP · RAP 0–2 SKN · SKN 3–1 RAP · RAP 0–1 SKN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Liga this season · since 14 Aug

SKN ST. POLTEN

LLWWWL0–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 1–3

RAPID WIEN II

WLLLLL2–1 · 0–2 · 2–5 · 0–2 · 1–4 · 1–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1FC BW Linz8+1619
2First Vienna8+919
3Austria Vienna (Am)8+315
4Wacker Innsbruck8+314
5Floridsdorfer AC8+213
6Austria Salzburg8+313
7SKU Amstetten8+313
8FC Liefering8+113
9Admira Wacker8012
10Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz8−210
11SKN ST. Polten8−29
12Voitsberg8−39
13Sturm Graz II8−58
14WSPG Wels8−87
15Rapid Wien II8−116
16SV Kapfenberg8−93

The competition's standings before kick-off.