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Rapid Wien II v Wacker Innsbruck

Rapid Wien II

1–2Full time

Wacker Innsbruck

2. Liga · SAT 10 OCT · Allianz Stadion

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Rapid Wien II 1–2 Wacker Innsbruck WACKER INNSBRUCK WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Wacker Innsbruck win~~45%

~~The market said~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.452

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.433

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 20 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Wacker Innsbruck win at 45%.
1′2′ and it is 0–0: Wacker Innsbruck have scored. 0–0 · 31–24–45
1′KICK-OFF Rapid Wien II v Wacker Innsbruck
3′⚽ GOAL · 2' Rapid Wien II 0–1 Wacker Innsbruck
20′We said Wacker Innsbruck at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 11–18–70
20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Wacker Innsbruck win: 45% at kick-off, 70% now
24′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Wacker Innsbruck
40′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 0–1 · 8–19–72
45′HALF-TIME Rapid Wien II 0–1 Wacker Innsbruck
48′SECOND HALF Rapid Wien II 0–1 Wacker Innsbruck
68′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Wacker Innsbruck · On: G. Biancheri · Off: A. Lechl
68′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Wacker Innsbruck · On: O. Yilmaz · Off: Y. Guermouche
68′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Wacker Innsbruck · On: B. Owusu · Off: L. Gstrein
71′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Wacker Innsbruck · On: A. Wibowo · Off: R. Tekir
74′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Rapid Wien II · On: R. Kerschbaum · Off: O. Thiero
74′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Wacker Innsbruck · On: A. Wibowo · Off: R. Tekir
75′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Wacker Innsbruck · On: A. Wibowo · Off: R. Tekir
75′🟨 YELLOW · 74' F. Silber · Rapid Wien II
84′⚽ GOAL · 83' Rapid Wien II 1–1 Wacker Innsbruck
89′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Rapid Wien II · On: S. Ozvold · Off: E. Tutunci
89′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Wacker Innsbruck · On: M. Kochl · Off: Q. Rackl
90′⚽ GOAL · 91' Rapid Wien II 1–2 Wacker Innsbruck
90′SUBSTITUTION · 92' Rapid Wien II · On: P. Moizi · Off: A. Groller
FTFULL TIME Rapid Wien II 1–2 Wacker Innsbruck
FTRapid Wien II 1–2 Wacker Innsbruck · Wacker Innsbruck win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Rapid Wien II win31%

Draw24%

Wacker Innsbruck win45%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:30

Venue · Allianz Stadion

Referee · C. Demir

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Rapid Wien II

Formation not confirmed

49 L. Orgler

6 K. Yeboah

15 D. Mahiya

47 A. Groller

61 E. Tutunci

41 D. Polke

10 E. Music

16 E. Jakupi

28 L. Szladits

8 O. Thiero

26 N. Jozepovic

Coach · Jurgen Kerber

Substitutes

44 · M. Fellner

9 · P. Moizi

12 · F. Silber

21 · D. Berger

30 · M. Tazi

32 · S. Ozvold

54 · R. Kerschbaum

Wacker Innsbruck

Formation not confirmed

33 J. Kirchmayr

21 R. Littig

5 P. Kunze

19 F. Kopp

10 R. Tekir

18 A. Lechl

15 M. Sy

27 Q. Rackl

11 R. Galle

22 L. Gstrein

99 Y. Guermouche

Coach · Sebastian Siller

Substitutes

1 · L. Tauber

2 · M. Kochl

6 · M. Petutschnig

7 · A. Wibowo

9 · O. Yilmaz

20 · G. Biancheri

24 · B. Owusu

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Rapid Wien II

Formation not confirmed

49 L. Orgler

6 K. Yeboah

15 D. Mahiya

47 A. Groller

61 E. Tutunci

41 D. Polke

10 E. Music

16 E. Jakupi

28 L. Szladits

8 O. Thiero

26 N. Jozepovic

Coach · Jurgen Kerber

Substitutes

44 · M. Fellner

9 · P. Moizi

12 · F. Silber

21 · D. Berger

30 · M. Tazi

32 · S. Ozvold

54 · R. Kerschbaum

Wacker Innsbruck

Formation not confirmed

33 J. Kirchmayr

21 R. Littig

5 P. Kunze

19 F. Kopp

10 R. Tekir

18 A. Lechl

15 M. Sy

27 Q. Rackl

11 R. Galle

22 L. Gstrein

99 Y. Guermouche

Coach · Sebastian Siller

Substitutes

1 · L. Tauber

2 · M. Kochl

6 · M. Petutschnig

7 · A. Wibowo

9 · O. Yilmaz

20 · G. Biancheri

24 · B. Owusu

Our number · wacker innsbruck winPublished 10 Oct 14:40

45% The market46%

Us45%

~~Market~~46%

We make Wacker Innsbruck a 45% chance to win. The market has them at 46%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.3–1.7.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · wacker innsbruck win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 48% to 46% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Rapid Wien II win	31%	29%	+2
Draw	24%	25%	−1
Wacker Innsbruck win	45%	46%	−1
Over 2.5 goals	58%	61%	−3
Both teams to score	59%	63%	−3
Over 1.5 goals	80%	80%	0
Over 3.5 goals	36%	40%	−4
Rapid Wien II or draw	55%	54%	+1
Rapid Wien II clean sheet	19%	–	–
Wacker Innsbruck clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%

0123450 5.2 8.2 6.8 3.9 1 6.6 10.8 8.9 5.0 2.2 2 4.5 7.2 5.9 3.3 3 2.0 3.3 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Rapid Wien II down, Wacker Innsbruck across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,241 2. Liga matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

2. Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 62.7% of games this season, across 59 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Rapid Wien II at home: 0.50 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Wacker Innsbruck away: 1.17 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.35 goals for Rapid Wien II, 1.68 for Wacker Innsbruck. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~WAC 2–1 RAP · RAP 0–3 WAC

Form · last six in 2. Liga

RAPID WIEN II

LWLLLL1–3 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 2–5 · 0–2 · 1–4

WACKER INNSBRUCK

LWWLDD0–3 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC BW Linz	8	+16	19
2	First Vienna	8	+9	19
3	Austria Vienna (Am)	8	+3	15
4	SKU Amstetten	8	+3	13
5	Floridsdorfer AC	7	+3	13
6	Wacker Innsbruck	7	+2	11
7	Austria Salzburg	7	+2	10
8	FC Liefering	7	−1	10
9	Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz	7	−1	10
10	Admira Wacker	7	−1	9
11	Voitsberg	7	−2	9
12	SKN ST. Polten	8	−2	9
13	Sturm Graz II	7	−3	8
14	Rapid Wien II	7	−10	6
15	WSPG Wels	7	−9	4
16	SV Kapfenberg	8	−9	3