Floridsdorfer AC v SV Kapfenberg prediction · 2. Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Floridsdorfer ACDrawSV Kapfenberg

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Floridsdorfer AC 57%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Floridsdorfer AC are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Floridsdorfer AC 57%, draw 23%, SV Kapfenberg 20%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Floridsdorfer AC v SV KapfenbergBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Floridsdorfer AC win57%

Draw23%

SV Kapfenberg win20%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 14:30

RoundMatchday 11

VenueFAC-Platz

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Floridsdorfer AC

SV Kapfenberg

8Days since last match8

Last match: 23 Oct · 2. Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Floridsdorfer AC	10	−2	13
15	SV Kapfenberg	10	−7	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · floridsdorfer ac winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

57% The market–

Us57%

We make Floridsdorfer AC a 57% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Floridsdorfer AC v SV Kapfenberg~~1.78 – 0.95

~~Form · last six in 2. Liga this season · since 28 Aug~~W2 D0 L4 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 13 v 7~~9 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Floridsdorfer AC win	57%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
SV Kapfenberg win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Floridsdorfer AC or draw	80%	–	–
Floridsdorfer AC clean sheet	39%	–	–
SV Kapfenberg clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.7%

0123450 6.8 6.2 3.0 1 11.7 10.9 5.2 2 10.3 9.6 4.5 3 6.1 5.7 2.7 4 2.8 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Floridsdorfer AC down, SV Kapfenberg across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,262 2. Liga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 2. Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.8% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Floridsdorfer AC at home: 1.50 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). SV Kapfenberg away: 1.33 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.78 goals for Floridsdorfer AC, 0.95 for SV Kapfenberg. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~SVK 0–0 FLO · FLO 2–0 SVK · FLO 1–1 SVK · SVK 3–1 FLO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Liga this season · since 28 Aug

FLORIDSDORFER AC

WLWLLL2–0 · 0–4 · 4–0 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 0–2

SV KAPFENBERG

WLLLWD2–1 · 0–1 · 3–4 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC BW Linz	10	+20	25
2	First Vienna	10	+12	25
3	Austria Vienna (Am)	10	+4	19
4	Admira Wacker	10	+3	18
5	SKU Amstetten	10	+4	17
6	Austria Salzburg	10	+3	16
7	Wacker Innsbruck	10	+1	14
8	FC Liefering	10	−2	14
9	Floridsdorfer AC	10	−2	13
10	Voitsberg	10	0	12
11	Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz	10	−2	12
12	SKN ST. Polten	10	−2	11
13	Sturm Graz II	10	−8	8
14	WSPG Wels	10	−12	8
15	SV Kapfenberg	10	−7	7
16	Rapid Wien II	10	−12	7