Floridsdorfer AC v Admira Wacker prediction · 2. Liga

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28

Floridsdorfer AC 0–2 Admira Wacker FLORIDSDORFER AC WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Floridsdorfer AC win~~41%

~~The market said~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.736

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.678

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 22 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Floridsdorfer AC win at 41%.
1′Much as we predicted: Floridsdorfer AC was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 41–29–30
1′KICK-OFF Floridsdorfer AC v Admira Wacker
16′🟨 YELLOW · 16' Floridsdorfer AC
35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Floridsdorfer AC win 34%)
38′Much as we predicted: Floridsdorfer AC was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 34% now. 0–0 · 34–40–26
45′HALF-TIME Floridsdorfer AC 0–0 Admira Wacker
45′SECOND HALF Floridsdorfer AC 0–0 Admira Wacker
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Floridsdorfer AC win: 41% at kick-off, 31% now
47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Floridsdorfer AC · On: S. Filipovic · Off: J. Taieb
51′We said Floridsdorfer AC at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–48–23
61′Admira Wacker find the net on 61′. 0–0 · 25–55–20
61′We said Floridsdorfer AC at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 0–1 · 5–20–75
61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Floridsdorfer AC 0–1 Admira Wacker
61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Floridsdorfer AC win: 41% at kick-off, 5% now
61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Admira Wacker win is now our likeliest result at 75% (was Draw 20%)
62′We said Floridsdorfer AC at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–76
65′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Floridsdorfer AC · On: D. Brandl · Off: M. Neumann
65′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Floridsdorfer AC · On: N. Bitsche · Off: M. Maier
74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Admira Wacker · On: X. Woudstra · Off: A. Schmidt
76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Floridsdorfer AC win: 41% at kick-off, 1% now
81′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Floridsdorfer AC · On: T. Lerchbacher · Off: M. Becirovic
84′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Admira Wacker · On: M. Wagner · Off: N. Ajanovic
88′Goals are coming at about the 2.2 we expected. 0–2 · 0–0–100
88′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Floridsdorfer AC · On: J. Richards · Off: M. Vucenovic
88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Floridsdorfer AC 0–2 Admira Wacker
89′Admira Wacker score on 89′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 0–0–100
89′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Admira Wacker · On: M. Bubanj · Off: J. Forst
89′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Admira Wacker · On: A. Tambwe-Kasengele · Off: B. Glitia
89′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Admira Wacker · On: M. Meisl · Off: B. Nyarko
90′Admira Wacker score on 89′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 0–0–100
FTFULL TIME Floridsdorfer AC 0–2 Admira Wacker
FTFloridsdorfer AC 0–2 Admira Wacker · Floridsdorfer AC win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Floridsdorfer AC are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Floridsdorfer AC 41%, draw 29%, Admira Wacker 30%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Floridsdorfer AC v Admira WackerBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Floridsdorfer AC win41%

Draw29%

Admira Wacker win30%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:30

RoundMatchday 9

VenueFAC-Platz

RefereeP. Gadler

Line-ups

Floridsdorfer AC

Admira Wacker

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Floridsdorfer AC

Admira Wacker

7Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · 2. Liga

Last match: 11 Oct · 2. Liga

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Floridsdorfer AC	8	+2	13
9	Admira Wacker	8	0	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Floridsdorfer AC

Formation not confirmed

1 P. Scharner

4 J. Taieb

19 M. Becirovic

24 D. Kirnbauer

17 M. Neumann

10 L. Piskule

8 T. Osmani

18 M. Maier

28 T. Geris

9 T. Glavan

12 M. Vucenovic

Coach · Mario Sonnleitner

Substitutes

57 · A. Turkin

5 · S. Filipovic

22 · D. Brandl

6 · N. Bitsche

16 · F. Hafenscher

11 · T. Lerchbacher

34 · J. Richards

Admira Wacker

Formation not confirmed

1 C. Steinbauer

23 J. Weberbauer

3 S. Savic

21 L. de Wit

22 F. Holzhacker

12 B. Glitia

8 T. Gemicibasi

14 B. Nyarko

10 A. Schmidt

7 N. Ajanovic

9 J. Forst

Coach · Harald Suchard

Substitutes

31 · S. Conde

5 · M. Meisl

6 · F. Feiner

17 · M. Wagner

18 · X. Woudstra

36 · A. Tambwe-Kasengele

77 · M. Bubanj

Our number · floridsdorfer ac winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

41% The market40%

Us41%

~~Market~~40%

We make Floridsdorfer AC a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.2–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Floridsdorfer AC v Admira Wacker~~1.22 – 1.01

~~Form · last six in 2. Liga this season · since 15 Aug~~W3 D1 L2 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 13 v 12~~6 v 9

~~The market · Floridsdorfer AC win~~40% · ours 41%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Floridsdorfer AC win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Floridsdorfer AC win	41%	40%	+1
Draw	29%	27%	+2
Admira Wacker win	30%	33%	−3
Over 2.5 goals	38%	51%	−13
Both teams to score	44%	56%	−12
Over 1.5 goals	65%	75%	−10
Over 3.5 goals	19%	30%	−11
Floridsdorfer AC or draw	70%	67%	+3
Floridsdorfer AC clean sheet	37%	–	–
Admira Wacker clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.1%

0123450 11.1 10.9 5.5 1 13.1 13.1 6.6 2.2 2 8.0 7.9 4.0 3 3.3 3.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Floridsdorfer AC down, Admira Wacker across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,250 2. Liga matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 2. Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.2% of games this season, across 68 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Floridsdorfer AC at home: 2.33 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Admira Wacker away: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.22 goals for Floridsdorfer AC, 1.01 for Admira Wacker. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 8

~~Both scored~~5 of 8

~~Last meetings~~ADM 1–0 FLO · FLO 1–1 ADM · FLO 1–2 ADM · ADM 2–1 FLO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Liga this season · since 15 Aug

FLORIDSDORFER AC

DWWLWL2–2 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 0–4 · 4–0 · 1–2

ADMIRA WACKER

WLWWLW2–0 · 0–1 · 3–1 · 1–0 · 0–3 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	First Vienna	9	+10	22
2	FC BW Linz	8	+16	19
3	Austria Vienna (Am)	9	+3	16
4	Austria Salzburg	9	+4	16
5	Wacker Innsbruck	9	+2	14
6	Floridsdorfer AC	8	+2	13
7	SKU Amstetten	8	+3	13
8	FC Liefering	8	+1	13
9	Admira Wacker	8	0	12
10	SKN ST. Polten	9	−2	10
11	Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz	8	−2	10
12	Voitsberg	9	−4	9
13	Sturm Graz II	8	−5	8
14	WSPG Wels	9	−8	8
15	Rapid Wien II	9	−11	7
16	SV Kapfenberg	8	−9	3