FC BW Linz v FC Liefering

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FC BW Linz win at 63%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: FC BW Linz 63% before kick-off, 63% now. 0–0 · 63–19–18
3. 1′KICK-OFF FC BW Linz v FC Liefering
4. 27′FC Liefering ahead on 26′ through L. Traore. 0–1. 0–1 · 31–26–43
5. 27′⚽ GOAL · 26' FC BW Linz 0–1 FC Liefering · L. Traore
6. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' FC BW Linz win: 63% at kick-off, 31% now
7. 27′THE CALL SWINGS · 27' FC Liefering win is now our likeliest result at 43% (was FC BW Linz win 31%)
8. 28′We said FC BW Linz at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 0–1 · 30–26–44
9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.4 we expected. 0–1 · 30–26–44
10. 31′We said FC BW Linz at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–26–45
11. 37′A goal for FC BW Linz on 37′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 53–28–19
12. 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' FC BW Linz 1–1 FC Liefering
13. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' FC BW Linz win: 63% at kick-off, 53% now
14. 37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' FC BW Linz win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was FC Liefering win 19%)
15. 42′We said FC BW Linz at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 51%. 1–1 · 51–30–18
16. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 45' FC Liefering
17. 45′HALF-TIME FC BW Linz 1–1 FC Liefering
18. 46′SECOND HALF FC BW Linz 1–1 FC Liefering
19. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' FC Liefering · On: J. Moser · Off: F. Matijasevic
20. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' FC Liefering · On: Yuri Leles · Off: R. Kosakiewic
21. 48′We said FC BW Linz at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 49–33–18
22. 54′🟨 YELLOW · 54' FC Liefering
23. 56′We said FC BW Linz at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–39–17
24. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' FC BW Linz win: 63% at kick-off, 43% now
25. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 58' FC BW Linz · On: K. Conte · Off: D. Kreiker
26. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 58' FC BW Linz · On: Ronivaldo · Off: F. Ristanic
27. 61′FC BW Linz score on 60′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 83–14–3
28. 61′We said FC BW Linz at 63% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 83%. 2–1 · 83–14–3
29. 61′⚽ GOAL · 60' FC BW Linz 2–1 FC Liefering
30. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' FC BW Linz win: 63% at kick-off, 83% now
31. 66′We said FC BW Linz at 63% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
32. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 66' FC Liefering · On: Y. Sulbaran · Off: Riquelme
33. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 69' FC Liefering
34. 71′FC Liefering are down to ten from 70′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 2–1 · 86–12–2
35. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 66' FC Liefering · On: D. Grudzinskas · Off: J. Pokorny
36. 71′🟥 RED CARD · 70' FC Liefering
37. 71′🟨 YELLOW · 71' FC Liefering
38. 72′🟨 YELLOW · 70' D. Grudzinskas · FC Liefering
39. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 73' FC BW Linz
40. 75′FC BW Linz find the net on 75′. 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
41. 75′⚽ GOAL · 75' FC BW Linz 3–1 FC Liefering
42. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' FC BW Linz win: 63% at kick-off, 99% now
43. 76′We said FC BW Linz at 63% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 3–1 · 99–1–0
44. 76′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 99–1–0
45. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' FC Liefering · On: J. Zangerl · Off: M. Matjasec
46. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' FC BW Linz · On: T. Schiestl · Off: J. Mayer
47. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 78' FC BW Linz
48. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 77' FC BW Linz · On: F. Strauss · Off: D. Riegler
49. 81′We said FC BW Linz at 63% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
50. 81′🟥 RED CARD · 81' FC Liefering
51. 82′A second red card for FC Liefering on 81′ — they are down to nine. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 3–1 · 100–0–0
52. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' FC BW Linz · On: J. Collmann · Off: E. Weinhauer
53. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 86' FC BW Linz
54. 90′A goal for FC BW Linz on 90′ — 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
55. 90′5 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 100–0–0
56. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' FC BW Linz 4–1 FC Liefering
57. FTFULL TIME FC BW Linz 4–1 FC Liefering
58. FTFC BW Linz 4–1 FC Liefering · FC BW Linz win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.