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Austria Vienna (Am) v WSPG Wels

Austria Vienna (Am)
2–2Full time
WSPG Wels

2. Liga · FRI 16 OCT · Generali Arena

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 20:01
Austria Vienna (Am) 2–2 WSPG Wels AUSTRIA VIENNA (AM) WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Austria Vienna (Am) win41%
The market said41%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.845
The market’s Brier score0.815

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay18 notes · 29 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Austria Vienna (Am) win at 41%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Austria Vienna (Am) 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–25–34
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Austria Vienna (Am) v WSPG Wels
  4. 21′🟨 YELLOW · 21' WSPG Wels
  5. 25′A goal for Austria Vienna (Am) on 25′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 68–20–11
  6. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Austria Vienna (Am) 1–0 WSPG Wels
  7. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Austria Vienna (Am) win: 41% at kick-off, 68% now
  8. 26′We said Austria Vienna (Am) at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 1–0 · 68–20–11
  9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 69–20–11
  10. 35′We said Austria Vienna (Am) at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–21–10
  11. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Austria Vienna (Am) win: 41% at kick-off, 71% now
  12. 41′Austria Vienna (Am) score on 41′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 91–7–2
  13. 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Austria Vienna (Am) 2–0 WSPG Wels
  14. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Austria Vienna (Am) win: 41% at kick-off, 91% now
  15. 42′We said Austria Vienna (Am) at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 2–0 · 92–7–2
  16. 43′40′: M. Brandt on the scoresheet for Austria Vienna (Am), making it 2–0. 2–0 · 92–7–2
  17. 45′HALF-TIME Austria Vienna (Am) 2–0 WSPG Wels
  18. 46′SECOND HALF Austria Vienna (Am) 2–0 WSPG Wels
  19. 52′WSPG Wels find the net on 51′. 2–1. 2–1 · 73–20–6
  20. 52′⚽ GOAL · 51' Austria Vienna (Am) 2–1 WSPG Wels
  21. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Austria Vienna (Am) win: 41% at kick-off, 73% now
  22. 53′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 74–20–6
  23. 56′We said Austria Vienna (Am) at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 2–1 · 75–20–6
  24. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' WSPG Wels · On: P. Muller · Off: T. Sahin
  25. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 63' WSPG Wels · On: M. Brugger · Off: O. Kregar
  26. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 63' WSPG Wels · On: Y. Mankan · Off: C. Wernitznig
  27. 68′We said Austria Vienna (Am) at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
  28. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' WSPG Wels · On: M. Svec · Off: I. Drammeh
  29. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Austria Vienna (Am) win: 41% at kick-off, 81% now
  30. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Austria Vienna (Am) · On: H. Deshishku · Off: D. Nisandzic
  31. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Austria Vienna (Am) · On: I. Menshykov · Off: M. Hausjell
  32. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Austria Vienna (Am) · On: M. Osterreicher · Off: M. Brandt
  33. 74′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Austria Vienna (Am)
  34. 76′We said Austria Vienna (Am) at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–1
  35. 83′A goal for WSPG Wels on 83′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 10–81–9
  36. 83′We said Austria Vienna (Am) at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 2–2 · 10–81–9
  37. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Austria Vienna (Am) win: 41% at kick-off, 91% now
  38. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Austria Vienna (Am) 2–2 WSPG Wels
  39. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Austria Vienna (Am) win: 41% at kick-off, 10% now
  40. 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Draw is now our likeliest result at 81% (was Austria Vienna (Am) win 10%)
  41. 84′We said Austria Vienna (Am) at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–84–8
  42. 84′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 9–84–8
  43. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Austria Vienna (Am) · On: T. Baotic · Off: N. Polonkai
  44. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Austria Vienna (Am)
  45. 91′We said Austria Vienna (Am) at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–93–3
  46. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' Austria Vienna (Am)
  47. 95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+5' Austria Vienna (Am)
  48. FTFULL TIME Austria Vienna (Am) 2–2 WSPG Wels
  49. FTAustria Vienna (Am) 2–2 WSPG Wels · Austria Vienna (Am) win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Austria Vienna (Am) are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Austria Vienna (Am) 41%, draw 25%, WSPG Wels 34%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Austria Vienna (Am) v WSPG WelsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Austria Vienna (Am) win41%
Draw25%
WSPG Wels win34%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 17:30

RoundMatchday 9

VenueGenerali Arena

RefereeS. Sampl

Line-ups

Austria Vienna (Am)

WSPG Wels

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Austria Vienna (Am)

WSPG Wels

7Days since last match6

Last match: 9 Oct · 2. Liga

Last match: 10 Oct · 2. Liga

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Austria Vienna (Am)8+315
14WSPG Wels8−87

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Austria Vienna (Am)

Formation not confirmed

1 S. Blazevic

23 N. Polonkai

44 J. Feddersen

2 W. Vorsager

17 J. Roider

8 D. Nisandzic

10 R. Morth

11 M. Brandt

30 B. Jerabek

7 M. Hausjell

5 M. Moswitzer

Coach · Maximilian Uhlig

Substitutes

9 · H. Deshishku

13 · M. Alphonsus

22 · T. Baotic

25 · I. Menshykov

42 · L. Stockl

55 · F. Fischer

77 · M. Osterreicher

WSPG Wels

Formation not confirmed

44 K. Schrocker

14 L. Tischler

23 S. Haudum

5 N. Keckeisen

13 M. Thurnwald

40 N. Freund

10 T. Sahin

22 O. Kregar

20 S. Malinowski

9 I. Drammeh

24 C. Wernitznig

Coach · Christian Heinle

Substitutes

6 · P. Muller

7 · M. Svec

8 · K. Camara

11 · Y. Mankan

12 · M. Brugger

28 · P. Gobara

33 · M. Schrenk

Our number · austria vienna (am) winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
41% The market41%
Us41%
Market41%

We make Austria Vienna (Am) a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are level with the market. The model expects 1.5–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Austria Vienna (Am) v WSPG Wels1.48 – 1.32
Form · last six in 2. Liga this season · since 14 AugW4 D0 L2 · W1 D1 L4
Table places · points 15 v 73 v 14
The market · Austria Vienna (Am) win41% · ours 41%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 10 OCT 03:5416 OCT 17:03
Our probability · Austria Vienna (Am) win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 41% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Austria Vienna (Am) win41%41%0
Draw25%26%−1
WSPG Wels win34%33%+1
Over 2.5 goals53%55%−2
Both teams to score56%59%−3
Over 1.5 goals77%77%0
Over 3.5 goals31%33%−2
Austria Vienna (Am) or draw66%67%−1
Austria Vienna (Am) clean sheet27%––
WSPG Wels clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%
0123450 6.3 8.0 5.3 2.4 1 9.0 11.7 7.7 3.4 2 6.7 8.6 5.6 2.5 3 3.3 4.3 2.8 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Austria Vienna (Am) down, WSPG Wels across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2023/24
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.50 of 2
Both scored0 of 2
Last meetingsAUS 1–0 WSP · WSP 0–1 AUS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Liga this season · since 14 Aug

AUSTRIA VIENNA (AM)

WLWLWW3–1 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 2–4 · 4–1 · 1–0

WSPG WELS

LDLLLW1–2 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 1–4 · 1–3 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1FC BW Linz8+1619
2First Vienna8+919
3Austria Vienna (Am)8+315
4Wacker Innsbruck8+314
5Floridsdorfer AC8+213
6Austria Salzburg8+313
7SKU Amstetten8+313
8FC Liefering8+113
9Admira Wacker8012
10Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz8−210
11SKN ST. Polten8−29
12Voitsberg8−39
13Sturm Graz II8−58
14WSPG Wels8−87
15Rapid Wien II8−116
16SV Kapfenberg8−93

The competition's standings before kick-off.