Austria Salzburg v SKU Amstetten prediction · 2. Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Austria SalzburgDrawSKU Amstetten

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Austria Salzburg 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Austria Salzburg are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Austria Salzburg 42%, draw 25%, SKU Amstetten 33%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Austria Salzburg v SKU AmstettenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Austria Salzburg win42%

Draw25%

SKU Amstetten win33%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 17:30

RoundMatchday 11

VenueMax-Aicher-Stadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Austria Salzburg

SKU Amstetten

7Days since last match7

Last match: 23 Oct · 2. Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	SKU Amstetten	10	+4	17
6	Austria Salzburg	10	+3	16

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · austria salzburg winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Austria Salzburg a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Austria Salzburg v SKU Amstetten~~1.55 – 1.34

~~Form · last six in 2. Liga this season · since 28 Aug~~W2 D1 L3 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 16 v 17~~6 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Austria Salzburg win	42%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
SKU Amstetten win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	55%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	33%	–	–
Austria Salzburg or draw	67%	–	–
Austria Salzburg clean sheet	27%	–	–
SKU Amstetten clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.5%

0123450 5.8 7.5 5.0 2.2 1 8.7 11.5 7.6 3.4 2 6.7 8.8 5.8 2.6 3 3.5 4.6 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Austria Salzburg down, SKU Amstetten across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,262 2. Liga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 2. Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.8% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Austria Salzburg at home: 2.33 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). SKU Amstetten away: 1.33 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.55 goals for Austria Salzburg, 1.34 for SKU Amstetten. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~SKU 0–2 AUS · AUS 2–2 SKU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Liga this season · since 28 Aug

AUSTRIA SALZBURG

LDLWWL0–1 · 3–3 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 0–1

SKU AMSTETTEN

LWWDDW0–1 · 4–2 · 4–3 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC BW Linz	10	+20	25
2	First Vienna	10	+12	25
3	Austria Vienna (Am)	10	+4	19
4	Admira Wacker	10	+3	18
5	SKU Amstetten	10	+4	17
6	Austria Salzburg	10	+3	16
7	Wacker Innsbruck	10	+1	14
8	FC Liefering	10	−2	14
9	Floridsdorfer AC	10	−2	13
10	Voitsberg	10	0	12
11	Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz	10	−2	12
12	SKN ST. Polten	10	−2	11
13	Sturm Graz II	10	−8	8
14	WSPG Wels	10	−12	8
15	SV Kapfenberg	10	−7	7
16	Rapid Wien II	10	−12	7