Admira Wacker v Voitsberg prediction · 2. Liga

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 12:11

Admira Wacker 3–2 Voitsberg ADMIRA WACKER WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Admira Wacker win~~53%

~~The market said~~36%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.338

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.631

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 29 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Admira Wacker win at 53%.
1′Much as we predicted: Admira Wacker was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 0–0 · 53–25–22
10′5′ and it is 1–1: A. Schmidt on the scoresheet for Admira Wacker. 1–1 · 51–27–22
23′A goal for Voitsberg on 24′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 48–31–22
25′P. Scheucher scores for Voitsberg on 23′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 47–31–21
27′P. Scheucher scores for Voitsberg on 23′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 47–32–21
32′4 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 45–34–21
38′4 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 43–36–21
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Admira Wacker win: 53% at kick-off, 45% now
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Admira Wacker win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Admira Wacker win: 53% at kick-off, 45% now
43′We said Admira Wacker at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 41%. 2–2 · 41–39–20
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Admira Wacker win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Admira Wacker win: 53% at kick-off, 45% now
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Admira Wacker win: 53% at kick-off, 41% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Admira Wacker win: 53% at kick-off, 41% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Admira Wacker win: 53% at kick-off, 45% now
45′HALF-TIME Admira Wacker 2–2 Voitsberg
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Admira Wacker win: 53% at kick-off, 41% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Admira Wacker win: 53% at kick-off, 45% now
45′SECOND HALF Admira Wacker 2–2 Voitsberg
46′🟨 YELLOW · 47' Admira Wacker
48′🟨 YELLOW · 47' J. Forst · Admira Wacker
54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Admira Wacker 2–3 Voitsberg · P. Scheucher
63′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Admira Wacker
73′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Voitsberg
75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Voitsberg · On: M. Krienzer · Off: F. Schubert
76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Admira Wacker · On: S. Steiner · Off: N. Ajanovic
81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Voitsberg · On: A. Radics · Off: P. Scheucher
83′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Voitsberg
83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Admira Wacker 3–2 Voitsberg · P. Scheucher
83′⚽ GOAL · 84' Admira Wacker 3–2 Voitsberg
85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Admira Wacker · On: X. Woudstra · Off: J. Forst
90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Voitsberg · On: T. Brukk · Off: D. Saurer
90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Voitsberg · On: A. Stevanovic · Off: E. Neubauer
92′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Admira Wacker · On: A. Tambwe-Kasengele · Off: A. Schmidt
92′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Admira Wacker · On: M. Meisl · Off: F. Holzhacker
FTFULL TIME Admira Wacker 3–2 Voitsberg
FTAdmira Wacker 3–2 Voitsberg · Admira Wacker win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Admira Wacker win53%

Draw25%

Voitsberg win22%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 09:30

RefereeS. Macanovic

Line-ups

Admira Wacker

Voitsberg

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Admira Wacker

Voitsberg

23Days since last match22

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Admira Wacker	7	−1	9
11	Voitsberg	7	−2	9

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Admira Wacker

Formation not confirmed

1 C. Steinbauer

23 J. Weberbauer

3 S. Savic

21 L. de Wit

22 F. Holzhacker

12 B. Glitia

8 T. Gemicibasi

14 B. Nyarko

10 A. Schmidt

7 N. Ajanovic

9 J. Forst

Coach · Harald Suchard

Substitutes

27 · J. Siebenhandl

5 · M. Meisl

36 · A. Tambwe-Kasengele

6 · F. Feiner

16 · S. Steiner

17 · M. Wagner

18 · X. Woudstra

Voitsberg

Formation not confirmed

36 F. Dmitrovic

23 L. Zivanovic

3 N. Vakouftsis

4 A. Mustafic

39 E. Neubauer

46 M. Polster

19 K. Stratznig

6 D. Saurer

8 P. Scheucher

9 F. Schubert

7 P. Jager

Coach · Philipp Zulechner

Substitutes

1 · T. Stopajnik

15 · M. Krienzer

28 · J. Schriebl

30 · D. Goriupp

44 · A. Stevanovic

77 · T. Brukk

80 · A. Radics

Our number · admira wacker winPublished 11 Oct 09:34

53% The market36%

Us53%

~~Market~~36%

We make Admira Wacker a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 36%. We are 17 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–0.9.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · admira wacker win The market, margin stripped

Published at 52%, 53% now. The market has gone from 34% to 36% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Admira Wacker win	53%	36%	+17
Draw	25%	25%	0
Voitsberg win	22%	39%	−17
Over 2.5 goals	46%	59%	−14
Both teams to score	47%	63%	−15
Over 1.5 goals	71%	79%	−8
Over 3.5 goals	25%	39%	−14
Admira Wacker or draw	78%	61%	+17
Admira Wacker clean sheet	40%	–	–
Voitsberg clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.9%

0123450 8.4 7.6 3.5 1 12.9 11.8 5.4 2 10.1 9.2 4.3 3 5.4 4.9 2.3 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Admira Wacker down, Voitsberg across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,245 2. Liga matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

2. Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.5% of games this season, across 63 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Admira Wacker at home: 0.67 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Voitsberg away: 1.17 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.58 goals for Admira Wacker, 0.93 for Voitsberg. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ADM 1–0 VOI · VOI 1–2 ADM

Form · last six in 2. Liga

ADMIRA WACKER

LWLWWL1–2 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 3–1 · 1–0 · 0–3

VOITSBERG

WDLLDW3–1 · 0–0 · 1–5 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC BW Linz	8	+16	19
2	First Vienna	8	+9	19
3	Austria Vienna (Am)	8	+3	15
4	Wacker Innsbruck	8	+3	14
5	Austria Salzburg	8	+3	13
6	SKU Amstetten	8	+3	13
7	Floridsdorfer AC	8	+2	13
8	FC Liefering	8	+1	13
9	Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz	8	−2	10
10	Admira Wacker	7	−1	9
11	Voitsberg	7	−2	9
12	SKN ST. Polten	8	−2	9
13	Sturm Graz II	8	−5	8
14	WSPG Wels	8	−8	7
15	Rapid Wien II	8	−11	6
16	SV Kapfenberg	8	−9	3