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Wollongong Wolves v South Hobart
Wollongong WolvesSouth HobartAustralian Championship · SUN 25 OCT · WIN Stadium
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Wollongong Wolves are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Wollongong Wolves 61%, draw 20%, South Hobart 18%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 61%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Wollongong Wolves win61%South Hobart win18%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 04:00
RoundGroup stage · matchday 2
VenueWIN Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Wollongong WolvesMINSouth HobartEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Wollongong Wolves
South Hobart
Last match: 15 Oct · Australian Championship
Last match: 18 Oct · Australian Championship
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026 · Australian Championship · group 4Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Hobart | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Wollongong Wolves | 1 | +1 | 2 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Wollongong Wolves a 61% chance to win. The market has them at 66%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 60%, 61% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 66% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wollongong Wolves win | 61% | 66% | −5 |
| Draw | 20% | 19% | +1 |
| South Hobart win | 18% | 15% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 67% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 61% | 60% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 84% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 47% | −4 |
| Wollongong Wolves or draw | 82% | 85% | −3 |
| Wollongong Wolves clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
| South Hobart clean sheet | 11% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Australian Championship this season · since 15 Oct
WOLLONGONG WOLVES
SOUTH HOBART
The table
2026 · Australian Championship · group 4| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Hobart | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Lions | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Wollongong Wolves | 1 | +1 | 2 |
| 4 |  Preston Lions | 2 | −2 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.