Sydney United v Canberra FC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sydney United win at 58%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Sydney United was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 58% now. 0–0 · 58–23–20
3. 1′KICK-OFF Sydney United v Canberra FC
4. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Sydney United win: 58% at kick-off, 48% now
5. 42′We said Sydney United at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 46%. 0–0 · 46–34–20
6. 45′HALF-TIME Sydney United 0–0 Canberra FC
7. 46′SECOND HALF Sydney United 0–0 Canberra FC
8. 48′We said Sydney United at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–37–19
9. 55′Canberra FC score on 55′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 13–27–60
10. 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Sydney United 0–1 Canberra FC
11. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Sydney United win: 58% at kick-off, 13% now
12. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Canberra FC win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Sydney United win 13%)
13. 56′We said Sydney United at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 12%. 0–1 · 12–27–60
14. 62′We said Sydney United at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–26–64
15. 63′Sydney United find the net on 62′. 1–1. 1–1 · 35–49–16
16. 63′We said Sydney United at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 35%. 1–1 · 35–49–16
17. 63′⚽ GOAL · 62' Sydney United 1–1 Canberra FC
18. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Sydney United win: 58% at kick-off, 35% now
19. 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Canberra FC win 16%)
20. 64′We said Sydney United at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–50–16
21. 65′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 1–1 · 33–51–16
22. 70′We said Sydney United at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–57–14
23. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Sydney United win: 58% at kick-off, 28% now
24. 75′We said Sydney United at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–64–12
25. 79′We said Sydney United at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–71–10
26. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Sydney United win: 58% at kick-off, 18% now
27. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Sydney United win: 58% at kick-off, 8% now
28. 90′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes the draw likeliest at 46%. 1–1 · 37–46–17
29. 92′We said Sydney United at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–2
30. FTFULL TIME Sydney United 1–1 Canberra FC after penalties
31. FTSydney United 1–1 Canberra FC after 90 minutes, as graded · Sydney United win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.