Sydney Olympic v Marconi Stallions prediction · Australian Championship

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Sydney OlympicDrawMarconi Stallions

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 08:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Marconi Stallions 55%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Marconi Stallions are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sydney Olympic 22%, draw 23%, Marconi Stallions 55%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Sydney Olympic v Marconi StallionsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Sydney Olympic win22%

Draw23%

Marconi Stallions win55%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 08:30

RoundGroup stage · matchday 3

VenueSydney Olympic Park Athletic Centre

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sydney Olympic

Marconi Stallions

14Days since last match6

Last match: 16 Oct · Australian Championship

Last match: 24 Oct · Australian Championship

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Marconi Stallions	2	−1	2
4	Sydney Olympic	1	−2	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · marconi stallions winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

55% The market–

Us55%

We make Marconi Stallions a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.8, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sydney Olympic v Marconi Stallions~~1.02 – 1.79

~~Form · Australian Championship this season · since 16 Oct~~W0 D0 L1 · W0 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 0 v 2~~4 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sydney Olympic win	22%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Marconi Stallions win	55%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	53%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
Sydney Olympic or draw	45%	–	–
Sydney Olympic clean sheet	17%	–	–
Marconi Stallions clean sheet	37%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 11.1%

0123450 6.0 11.1 9.6 5.8 2.6 1 6.5 10.6 9.6 5.7 2.6 2 3.2 5.5 4.9 2.9 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sydney Olympic down, Marconi Stallions across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,219 New South Wales NPL matches up to 13 Sep 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: New South Wales NPL matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.1% of games this season, across 247 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.90 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sydney Olympic at home: 1.00 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Marconi Stallions away: 1.83 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.02 goals for Sydney Olympic, 1.79 for Marconi Stallions. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.90

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~SYD 0–1 MAR · MAR 2–0 SYD · SYD 2–0 MAR · MAR 1–1 SYD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Australian Championship this season · since 16 Oct

SYDNEY OLYMPIC

L2–4

MARCONI STALLIONS

LD1–3 · 0–0

The table

2026 · Australian Championship · group 3

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Oakleigh Cannons	2	+1	4
2	Bayswater City	1	+2	3
3	Marconi Stallions	2	−1	2
4	Sydney Olympic	1	−2	0

The competition's standings before kick-off.

Sydney Olympic v Marconi Stallions

The match pulse

AI match analysis

Pre-match prediction

Match timeline

Line-ups

Rest & schedule

Sydney Olympic

Marconi Stallions

The game in numbers

League table

Line-ups

Match statistics

Line-ups

What the number rests on

Head to head

Form · Australian Championship this season · since 16 Oct

The table