Oakleigh Cannons v Sydney Olympic

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Oakleigh Cannons win at 86%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Oakleigh Cannons was 86% before kick-off and our model makes it 86% now. 0–0 · 86–9–5
3. 1′KICK-OFF Oakleigh Cannons v Sydney Olympic
4. 10′A goal for Sydney Olympic on 9′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 65–19–16
5. 10′We said Oakleigh Cannons at 86%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 65%. 0–1 · 65–19–16
6. 10′⚽ GOAL · 9' Oakleigh Cannons 0–1 Sydney Olympic
7. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 10' Oakleigh Cannons win: 86% at kick-off, 65% now
8. 12′We said Oakleigh Cannons at 86%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 64%. 0–1 · 64–19–17
9. 15′Oakleigh Cannons score on 14′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 82–12–6
10. 15′⚽ GOAL · 14' Oakleigh Cannons 1–1 Sydney Olympic
11. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' Oakleigh Cannons win: 86% at kick-off, 82% now
12. 31′Oakleigh Cannons find the net on 30′. 2–1. 2–1 · 93–5–1
13. 31′⚽ GOAL · 30' Oakleigh Cannons 2–1 Sydney Olympic
14. 45′HALF-TIME Oakleigh Cannons 2–1 Sydney Olympic
15. 46′SECOND HALF Oakleigh Cannons 2–1 Sydney Olympic
16. 58′Goals are coming at about the 4.0 we expected. 2–1 · 92–7–1
17. 59′A goal for Sydney Olympic on 59′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 59–32–8
18. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Oakleigh Cannons 2–2 Sydney Olympic
19. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Oakleigh Cannons win: 86% at kick-off, 59% now
20. 60′We said Oakleigh Cannons at 86%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 59%. 2–2 · 59–33–8
21. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Oakleigh Cannons win: 86% at kick-off, 55% now
22. 64′We said Oakleigh Cannons at 86%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 54%. 2–2 · 54–38–8
23. 69′We said Oakleigh Cannons at 86%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 48%. 2–2 · 48–44–8
24. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Oakleigh Cannons win: 86% at kick-off, 45% now
25. 72′We said Oakleigh Cannons at 86%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 2–2 · 44–49–7
26. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Oakleigh Cannons win 44%)
27. 75′We said Oakleigh Cannons at 86%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 2–2 · 39–54–7
28. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Oakleigh Cannons win: 86% at kick-off, 35% now
29. 78′We said Oakleigh Cannons at 86%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 2–2 · 33–61–6
30. 80′We said Oakleigh Cannons at 86%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–66–5
31. 82′We said Oakleigh Cannons at 86%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–71–5
32. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Oakleigh Cannons win: 86% at kick-off, 24% now
33. 83′Oakleigh Cannons score on 83′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 96–4–0
34. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Oakleigh Cannons 3–2 Sydney Olympic
35. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Oakleigh Cannons win: 86% at kick-off, 96% now
36. 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Oakleigh Cannons win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 4%)
37. 84′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.0 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 96–4–0
38. 89′We published Oakleigh Cannons at 86%. Our model now makes it 98%. 3–2 · 98–2–0
39. 91′Oakleigh Cannons find the net on 90′. 4–2. 4–2 · 100–0–0
40. 91′We published Oakleigh Cannons at 86%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 4–2 · 100–0–0
41. 91′⚽ GOAL · 90' Oakleigh Cannons 4–2 Sydney Olympic
42. 92′6 goals already, more than the 4.0 we expected for the whole match. 4–2 · 100–0–0
43. FTFULL TIME Oakleigh Cannons 4–2 Sydney Olympic
44. FTOakleigh Cannons 4–2 Sydney Olympic · Oakleigh Cannons win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 3–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.