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Marconi Stallions v Oakleigh Cannons
Marconi StallionsOakleigh CannonsAustralian Championship · SAT 24 OCT · Marconi Stadium
Every number we publish is for the 90 minutes, so this match is graded on 0–0, the score after 90 minutes. Marconi Stallions won 1–0 on penalties.
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Oakleigh Cannons win at 51%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Oakleigh Cannons was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 24–25–51
- 1′KICK-OFF Marconi Stallions v Oakleigh Cannons
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Oakleigh Cannons win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Marconi Stallions 0–0 Oakleigh Cannons
- 46′SECOND HALF Marconi Stallions 0–0 Oakleigh Cannons
- 47′We said Oakleigh Cannons at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 21–39–39
- 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Oakleigh Cannons win 40%)
- 55′We expected about 2.7 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 20–44–36
- 57′We said Oakleigh Cannons at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 20–46–34
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Oakleigh Cannons win: 51% at kick-off, 31% now
- 65′We said Oakleigh Cannons at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 17–53–29
- 72′We said Oakleigh Cannons at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 14–62–24
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Oakleigh Cannons win: 51% at kick-off, 21% now
- 77′We said Oakleigh Cannons at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 11–70–19
- 81′We said Oakleigh Cannons at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 9–77–14
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Oakleigh Cannons win: 51% at kick-off, 11% now
- 86′We said Oakleigh Cannons at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 5–86–8
- 91′We said Oakleigh Cannons at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 3–93–4
- 102′PENALTY MISSED · 90+12' Marconi Stallions
- 103′PENALTY MISSED · 90+12' Oakleigh Cannons
- 103′PENALTY MISSED · 90+13' Marconi Stallions
- 104′PENALTY MISSED · 90+14' Oakleigh Cannons
- 120′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. The shoot-out decides who goes through - our model does not price it. 0–0 · 0–100–0
- FTFULL TIME Marconi Stallions 0–0 Oakleigh Cannons
- FTMarconi Stallions 0–0 Oakleigh Cannons after 90 minutes, as graded · Oakleigh Cannons win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Oakleigh Cannons are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Marconi Stallions 24%, draw 25%, Oakleigh Cannons 51%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 54%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Marconi Stallions win24%Oakleigh Cannons win51%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 05:00
RoundGroup stage · matchday 2
VenueMarconi Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Marconi StallionsMINOakleigh CannonsEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Marconi Stallions
Oakleigh Cannons
Last match: 17 Oct · Australian Championship
Last match: 16 Oct · Australian Championship
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026 · Australian Championship · group 3Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 | Marconi Stallions | 1 | −2 | 0 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Oakleigh Cannons a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 52%, 51% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 43% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marconi Stallions win | 24% | 31% | −7 |
| Draw | 25% | 27% | −2 |
| Oakleigh Cannons win | 51% | 43% | +8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 53% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 57% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 75% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 34% | −4 |
| Marconi Stallions or draw | 49% | 57% | −8 |
| Marconi Stallions clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
| Oakleigh Cannons clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Australian Championship this season · since 16 Oct
MARCONI STALLIONS
OAKLEIGH CANNONS
The table
2026 · Australian Championship · group 3| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 |  Bayswater City | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Sydney Olympic | 1 | −2 | 0 |
| 4 | Marconi Stallions | 1 | −2 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.