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Canberra FC v South Melbourne
Canberra FCSouth MelbourneAustralian Championship · THU 29 OCT · Deakin Stadium
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
South Melbourne are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Canberra FC 23%, draw 22%, South Melbourne 55%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 62%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Canberra FC win23%South Melbourne win55%Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 08:30
RoundGroup stage · matchday 3
VenueDeakin Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Canberra FCMINSouth MelbourneEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Canberra FC
South Melbourne
Last match: 24 Oct · Australian Championship
Last match: 23 Oct · Australian Championship
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026 · Australian Championship · group 1Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Melbourne | 2 | +2 | 5 |
| 4 | Canberra FC | 2 | −3 | 1 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make South Melbourne a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 49%, 55% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canberra FC win | 23% | – | – |
| Draw | 22% | – | – |
| South Melbourne win | 55% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 62% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | – | – |
| Canberra FC or draw | 45% | – | – |
| Canberra FC clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
| South Melbourne clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Australian Championship this season · since 17 Oct
CANBERRA FC
SOUTH MELBOURNE
The table
2026 · Australian Championship · group 1| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Melbourne | 2 | +2 | 5 |
| 2 |  Sutherland Sharks | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Sydney United | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Canberra FC | 2 | −3 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.