Broadmeadow Magic v Adelaide City prediction · Australian Championship

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Broadmeadow MagicDrawAdelaide City

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 08:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Adelaide City 74%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Adelaide City are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Broadmeadow Magic 9%, draw 17%, Adelaide City 74%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Broadmeadow Magic v Adelaide CityBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Broadmeadow Magic win9%

Draw17%

Adelaide City win74%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 08:30

RoundGroup stage · matchday 3

VenueWanderers Oval

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Broadmeadow Magic

Adelaide City

6Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Australian Championship

Last match: 23 Oct · Australian Championship

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · adelaide city winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

74% The market–

Us74%

We make Adelaide City a 74% chance to win. The model expects 0.7–2.4, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Broadmeadow Magic v Adelaide City~~0.73 – 2.37

~~Form · Australian Championship this season · since 16 Oct~~W1 D1 L0 · W0 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 5 v 1~~1 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Broadmeadow Magic win	9%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Adelaide City win	74%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	47%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	37%	–	–
Broadmeadow Magic or draw	26%	–	–
Broadmeadow Magic clean sheet	9%	–	–
Adelaide City clean sheet	48%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 12.7%

0123450 4.8 10.5 12.7 10.0 5.9 2.81 3.0 8.1 9.2 7.3 4.3 2.02 2.8 3.4 2.6 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Broadmeadow Magic down, Adelaide City across0–5 goals a side shown (96.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates the clubs of 637 leagues on one scale, from the 408,565 league, cup and continental matches of the last three years up to 23 Oct 2026: each club against its own league, and the leagues against each other through the matches between them, weighting recent matches more.

The two leagues

Broadmeadow Magic play in Northern NSW NPL, Adelaide City in South Australia NPL.

Venue

Allows for home advantage: Broadmeadow Magic are at home.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021.

What the model expects

0.73 goals for Broadmeadow Magic, 2.37 for Adelaide City. Most likely score 0–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Australian Championship this season · since 16 Oct

BROADMEADOW MAGIC

DW0–0 · 2–1

ADELAIDE CITY

DL2–2 · 1–3

The table

2026 · Australian Championship · group 2

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Broadmeadow Magic	2	+2	5
2	Wests APIA	2	+1	4
3	Avondale	2	0	2
4	Adelaide City	2	−3	1

The competition's standings before kick-off.

Broadmeadow Magic v Adelaide City

The match pulse

AI match analysis

Pre-match prediction

Match timeline

Line-ups

Rest & schedule

Broadmeadow Magic

Adelaide City

The game in numbers

League table

Line-ups

Match statistics

Line-ups

What the number rests on

Head to head

Form · Australian Championship this season · since 16 Oct

The table