Bayswater City v Marconi Stallions

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Bayswater City win at 39%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Bayswater City 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 39–25–36
3. 1′KICK-OFF Bayswater City v Marconi Stallions
4. 19′A goal for Bayswater City on 19′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 66–20–14
5. 19′We said Bayswater City at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 66%. 1–0 · 66–20–14
6. 19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Bayswater City 1–0 Marconi Stallions
7. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Bayswater City win: 39% at kick-off, 66% now
8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 67–21–12
9. 32′Marconi Stallions score on 32′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 35–32–33
10. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Bayswater City 1–1 Marconi Stallions
11. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Bayswater City win: 39% at kick-off, 35% now
12. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Bayswater City win 32%)
13. 45′HALF-TIME Bayswater City 1–1 Marconi Stallions
14. 46′SECOND HALF Bayswater City 1–1 Marconi Stallions
15. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Bayswater City win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
16. 60′We said Bayswater City at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 1–1 · 27–47–26
17. 62′Bayswater City find the net on 62′. 2–1. 2–1 · 75–20–5
18. 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Bayswater City 2–1 Marconi Stallions
19. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Bayswater City win: 39% at kick-off, 75% now
20. 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Bayswater City win is now our likeliest result at 75% (was Draw 20%)
21. 63′We said Bayswater City at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 2–1 · 76–20–5
22. 63′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 76–20–5
23. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Bayswater City win: 39% at kick-off, 79% now
24. 71′We said Bayswater City at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
25. 77′We said Bayswater City at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
26. 81′A goal for Bayswater City on 81′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
27. 81′We said Bayswater City at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 3–1 · 99–1–0
28. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Bayswater City 3–1 Marconi Stallions
29. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Bayswater City win: 39% at kick-off, 99% now
30. 82′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 99–1–0
31. 84′We said Bayswater City at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
32. 89′Marconi Stallions are down to ten from 88′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 3–1 · 100–0–0
33. 89′🟥 RED CARD · 88' Marconi Stallions
34. FTFULL TIME Bayswater City 3–1 Marconi Stallions
35. FTBayswater City 3–1 Marconi Stallions · Bayswater City win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.