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Avondale v Broadmeadow Magic
Avondale
Broadmeadow MagicAustralian Championship · SAT 24 OCT · Avenger park
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Avondale win at 92%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Avondale 92% before kick-off, 91% now. 0–0 · 91–6–3
- 1′KICK-OFF Avondale v Broadmeadow Magic
- 4′A goal for Broadmeadow Magic on 4′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 79–12–9
- 4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Avondale 0–1 Broadmeadow Magic
- 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 4' Avondale win: 92% at kick-off, 79% now
- 5′We said Avondale at 92%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 78%. 0–1 · 78–12–9
- 14′We said Avondale at 92%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 74%. 0–1 · 74–15–11
- 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 17' Avondale win: 92% at kick-off, 72% now
- 20′Avondale score on 19′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 87–9–4
- 20′⚽ GOAL · 19' Avondale 1–1 Broadmeadow Magic
- 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Avondale win: 92% at kick-off, 87% now
- 31′The goal count is tracking the 4.8 we expected. 1–1 · 84–12–4
- 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Avondale win: 92% at kick-off, 82% now
- 40′We said Avondale at 92%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 80%. 1–1 · 80–15–5
- 45′HALF-TIME Avondale 1–1 Broadmeadow Magic
- 46′SECOND HALF Avondale 1–1 Broadmeadow Magic
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Avondale win: 92% at kick-off, 72% now
- 58′We said Avondale at 92%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 68%. 1–1 · 68–26–6
- 62′We said Avondale at 92%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 64%. 1–1 · 64–29–6
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Avondale win: 92% at kick-off, 62% now
- 67′We said Avondale at 92%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 58%. 1–1 · 58–35–6
- 70′We said Avondale at 92%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 1–1 · 54–40–6
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Avondale win: 92% at kick-off, 52% now
- 73′We said Avondale at 92%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 49–45–6
- 76′We said Avondale at 92%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 43%. 1–1 · 43–51–6
- 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Draw is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Avondale win 47%)
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Avondale win: 92% at kick-off, 41% now
- 78′We said Avondale at 92%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–56–5
- 80′We said Avondale at 92%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–61–5
- 80′Broadmeadow Magic find the net on 80′. 1–2. 1–2 · 7–27–66
- 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Avondale 1–2 Broadmeadow Magic
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Avondale win: 92% at kick-off, 7% now
- 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Broadmeadow Magic win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Draw 61%)
- 81′We said Avondale at 92%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 1–2 · 6–26–68
- 83′We said Avondale at 92%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–22–74
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Avondale win: 92% at kick-off, 2% now
- FTFULL TIME Avondale 1–2 Broadmeadow Magic
- FTAvondale 1–2 Broadmeadow Magic · Avondale win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 4–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Avondale are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Avondale 92%, draw 6%, Broadmeadow Magic 3%. Over 2.5 goals 86%, both teams to score 50%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Avondale win92%
Broadmeadow Magic win3%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 05:00
RoundGroup stage · matchday 2
VenueAvenger park
Match timeline
All events
AvondaleMIN
Broadmeadow MagicEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Avondale
Broadmeadow Magic
Last match: 16 Oct · Australian Championship
Last match: 17 Oct · Australian Championship
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Avondale a 92% chance to win. The market has them at 76%. We are 16 points more confident than the market. The model expects 4.1–0.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 76% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avondale win | 92% | 76% | +16 |
| Draw | 6% | 15% | −9 |
| Broadmeadow Magic win | 3% | 9% | −6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% | 68% | +18 |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 52% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 95% | 85% | +10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 70% | 49% | +21 |
| Avondale or draw | 97% | 91% | +6 |
| Avondale clean sheet | 49% | – | – |
| Broadmeadow Magic clean sheet | 2% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Australian Championship this season · since 16 Oct
AVONDALE
BROADMEADOW MAGIC
The table
2026 · Australian Championship · group 2| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wests APIA | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 | Avondale | 1 | +1 | 2 |
| 3 | Broadmeadow Magic | 1 | +1 | 2 |
| 4 | Adelaide City | 2 | −3 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Wests APIA
Adelaide City