

Sydney v Western Sydney Wanderers
Sydney
Western Sydney WanderersA-League · FRI 16 OCT · Allianz Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Sydney win at 49%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Sydney was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–24–27
- 1′KICK-OFF Sydney v Western Sydney Wanderers
- 13′SUBSTITUTION · 12' Western Sydney Wanderers · On: A. Waraga · Off: A. Lual Corrected
- 34′🟨 YELLOW · 33' M. Di Pizio · Western Sydney Wanderers
- 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Sydney win: 49% at kick-off, 39% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Sydney 0–0 Western Sydney Wanderers
- 45′SECOND HALF Sydney 0–0 Western Sydney Wanderers
- 49′We said Sydney at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 37%. 0–0 · 37–39–24
- 51′🟨 YELLOW · 51' J. Hollman · Sydney
- 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Sydney win 36%)
- 52′🟨 YELLOW · 52' N. Milanovic · Western Sydney Wanderers
- 55′We expected about 2.9 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 35–43–22
- 57′We said Sydney at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–44–22
- 63′🟨 YELLOW · 62' A. Popovic · Sydney
- 65′We said Sydney at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–52–19
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Sydney win: 49% at kick-off, 29% now
- 65′🟨 YELLOW · 65' G. Ferreyra · Western Sydney Wanderers
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Sydney · On: A. Akon · Off: A. Toure Corrected
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Western Sydney Wanderers · On: A. Hammond · Off: N. Milanovic Corrected
- 72′We said Sydney at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–60–16
- 76′🟨 YELLOW · 75' O. Sunday · Sydney
- 77′We said Sydney at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–68–13
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Sydney win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Western Sydney Wanderers · On: N. Barrie · Off: A. Thurgate Corrected
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Western Sydney Wanderers · On: J. Carluccio · Off: A. Gersbach Corrected
- 81′We said Sydney at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–76–10
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Western Sydney Wanderers · On: H. Ibusuki · Off: L. Gillion Corrected
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Sydney · On: G. Popovic · Off: O. Sunday Corrected
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Sydney · On: W. Kamijo · Off: J. Hollman Corrected
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Sydney · On: J. Overy · Off: T. Sekine Corrected
- 85′We said Sydney at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–84–7
- 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Sydney win: 49% at kick-off, 9% now
- 87′🟨 YELLOW · 86' D. Scicluna · Western Sydney Wanderers
- 90′Full time, 0–0. We called Sydney at 49% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 0–0 · 0–100–0
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' B. Garuccio · Sydney
- 92′We said Sydney at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–94–3
- 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' J. Carluccio · Western Sydney Wanderers
- FTFULL TIME Sydney 0–0 Western Sydney Wanderers
- FTSydney 0–0 Western Sydney Wanderers · Sydney win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassSydney are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Sydney 49%, draw 23%, Western Sydney Wanderers 28%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 57%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
Sydney win49%
Western Sydney Wanderers win28%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 10:00
RoundMatchday 1
VenueAllianz Stadium
Match timeline
All events
SydneyMIN
Western Sydney WanderersEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Sydney
4-2-3-1
Western Sydney Wanderers
4-2-3-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Sydney
Western Sydney Wanderers
Last match: 9 Sept · Australia Cup
Last match: 8 Aug · Australia Cup
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Sydney
4-2-3-1
12 Harrison Devenish-Meares
23 Rhyan Grant
41 Alexandar Popovic
4 Jordan Courtney-Perkins
17 Ben Garuccio
36 Rhys Youlley
15 Jake Hollman
35 Al Hassan Toure
20 Tiago Quintal
14 Takahiro Sekine
9 Oriola Sunday
Coach · –
Substitutes
7 · Akol Akon
8 · Wataru Kamijo
16 · Gabriel Popovic
2 · James Overy
30 · Alexander Zaverdinos
28 · Ethan Dyer
29 · Joseph Lacey
Western Sydney Wanderers
4-2-3-1
20 Lawrence Thomas
36 Panashe Madanha
33 Germán Ferreyra
22 Anthony Pantazopoulos
3 Alex Gersbach
32 Angus Thurgate
8 Dylan Scicluna
14 Nicolas Milanović
10 Miguel Di Pizio
21 Liam Gillion
19 Awan Lual
Coach · –
Substitutes
11 · Atiya Waraga
7 · Aydan Hammond
24 · Nathan Barrie
17 · Jarrod Carluccio
9 · Hiroshi Ibusuki
23 · Jordan Holmes
27 · Jai Rose
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Sydney
4-2-3-1
12 Harrison Devenish-Meares
23 Rhyan Grant
41 Alexandar Popovic
4 Jordan Courtney-Perkins
17 Ben Garuccio
36 Rhys Youlley
15 Jake Hollman
35 Al Hassan Toure
20 Tiago Quintal
14 Takahiro Sekine
9 Oriola Sunday
Coach · –
Substitutes
7 · Akol Akon
8 · Wataru Kamijo
16 · Gabriel Popovic
2 · James Overy
30 · Alexander Zaverdinos
28 · Ethan Dyer
29 · Joseph Lacey
Western Sydney Wanderers
4-2-3-1
20 Lawrence Thomas
36 Panashe Madanha
33 Germán Ferreyra
22 Anthony Pantazopoulos
3 Alex Gersbach
32 Angus Thurgate
8 Dylan Scicluna
14 Nicolas Milanović
10 Miguel Di Pizio
21 Liam Gillion
19 Awan Lual
Coach · –
Substitutes
11 · Atiya Waraga
7 · Aydan Hammond
24 · Nathan Barrie
17 · Jarrod Carluccio
9 · Hiroshi Ibusuki
23 · Jordan Holmes
27 · Jai Rose
We make Sydney a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney win | 49% | 42% | +7 |
| Draw | 23% | 26% | −3 |
| Western Sydney Wanderers win | 28% | 32% | −4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 56% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 59% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 77% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 35% | −1 |
| Sydney or draw | 72% | 68% | +4 |
| Sydney clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
| Western Sydney Wanderers clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · A-League this season
SYDNEY
No matches in our record yet.
WESTERN SYDNEY WANDERERS
No matches in our record yet.
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Central Coast Mariners | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Newcastle Jets | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Perth Glory | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Brisbane Roar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Sydney | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Wellington Phoenix | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Melbourne Victory | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Macarthur | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Auckland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Brisbane Roar
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
Macarthur
Auckland