Sydney v Adelaide United

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sydney win at 47%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Sydney 47% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 46–23–30
3. 1′KICK-OFF Sydney v Adelaide United
4. 15′We said Sydney at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 22%. 0–1 · 22–22–55
5. 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Sydney 0–1 Adelaide United
6. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 15' Sydney win: 47% at kick-off, 22% now
7. 15′THE CALL SWINGS · 15' Adelaide United win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Sydney win 45%)
8. 16′Adelaide United ahead on 16′ through B. Burkitt. 0–1. 0–1 · 22–22–56
9. 18′🟨 YELLOW · 17' B. Burkitt · Adelaide United
10. 26′We said Sydney at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–23–57
11. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 0–1 · 18–24–58
12. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Sydney win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
13. 40′🟨 YELLOW · 39' T. Sekine · Sydney
14. 43′We said Sydney at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–24–61
15. 45′SECOND HALF Sydney 0–1 Adelaide United
16. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' B. Garuccio · Sydney
17. 46′HALF-TIME Sydney 0–1 Adelaide United
18. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 51' W. Kamijo · Sydney
19. 57′We said Sydney at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–67
20. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Sydney · On: J. Lacey · Off: W. Kamijo
21. 63′We said Sydney at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 1–1 · 30–48–22
22. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Adelaide United · On: J. Yull · Off: R. Kitto
23. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Sydney win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
24. 63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Sydney 1–1 Adelaide United
25. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Sydney win: 47% at kick-off, 30% now
26. 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Adelaide United win 70%)
27. 65′R. Youlley scores for Sydney on 64′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 29–50–21
28. 66′We said Sydney at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 1–1 · 28–51–21
29. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Sydney · On: A. Akon · Off: T. Quintal
30. 67′Sydney have had 13 attempts to 8 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 28–52–21
31. 72′We said Sydney at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 2–1 · 82–16–2
32. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Sydney 2–1 Adelaide United
33. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Sydney win: 47% at kick-off, 82% now
34. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Sydney win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 58%)
35. 75′75′: O. Sunday on the scoresheet for Sydney, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 84–14–2
36. 76′73′: O. Sunday on the scoresheet for Sydney, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 85–14–2
37. 77′We said Sydney at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 2–1 · 86–13–1
38. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Sydney · On: J. Overy · Off: A. Toure
39. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Adelaide United · On: A. Riak · Off: B. Burkitt
40. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Adelaide United · On: F. Kasumovic · Off: S. Phillis
41. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Adelaide United · On: J. Garuccio · Off: J. Muniz
42. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Sydney win: 47% at kick-off, 87% now
43. 82′We said Sydney at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
44. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Adelaide United · On: A. Tatu · Off: C. Goodwin
45. 89′We said Sydney at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
46. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' Sydney win: 47% at kick-off, 97% now
47. 94′2–1 at the end. Our 47% on Sydney comes in. 2–1 · 100–0–0
48. FTFULL TIME Sydney 2–1 Adelaide United
49. FTSydney 2–1 Adelaide United · Sydney win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.