Macarthur v Perth Glory

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Macarthur win at 51%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Macarthur was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–22–27
3. 1′KICK-OFF Macarthur v Perth Glory
4. 21′🟨 YELLOW · 21' A. Lebib · Perth Glory
5. 36′🟨 YELLOW · 36' L. Rose · Macarthur
6. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Macarthur win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
7. 45′SECOND HALF Macarthur 0–0 Perth Glory
8. 47′HALF-TIME Macarthur 0–0 Perth Glory
9. 50′We said Macarthur at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–37–24
10. 52′SUBSTITUTION · 52' Perth Glory · On: J. Kucharski · Off: H. Hore
11. 55′We expected about 3.3 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 37–40–23
12. 55′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Macarthur · On: B. Oliveira · Off: C. Pain
13. 56′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Macarthur · On: R. Fraser · Off: L. Vickery
14. 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Macarthur win 36%)
15. 58′We said Macarthur at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 11%. 0–1 · 11–25–64
16. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Macarthur 0–1 Perth Glory
17. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Macarthur win: 51% at kick-off, 11% now
18. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Perth Glory win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Draw 25%)
19. 59′Perth Glory ahead on 58′ through T. Lawrence. 0–1. 0–1 · 10–25–65
20. 61′We said Macarthur at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–25–66
21. 63′Perth Glory ahead on 59′ through T. Lawrence. 0–1. 0–1 · 8–24–67
22. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Perth Glory · On: S. Sutton · Off: S. Colakovski
23. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Macarthur · On: M. Toure · Off: A. Stamatelopoulos
24. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Perth Glory · On: P. Jacobsz · Off: T. Lawrence
25. 71′🟨 YELLOW · 70' B. Gibson · Macarthur
26. 73′We said Macarthur at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–21–75
27. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Perth Glory · On: C. Nieuwenhof · Off: W. Freney
28. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Perth Glory · On: G. De Abreu · Off: S. Despotovski
29. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Macarthur · On: D. Bosnjak · Off: O. Randazzo
30. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Macarthur · On: J. Machar Reec · Off: B. Gibson
31. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Macarthur win: 51% at kick-off, 1% now
32. 84′PENALTY MISSED · 84' R. Fraser · Macarthur
33. 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Macarthur 1–1 Perth Glory
34. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Macarthur win: 51% at kick-off, 10% now
35. 85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' Draw is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Perth Glory win 7%)
36. 86′R. Fraser scores for Macarthur on 86′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 10–84–6
37. 88′We published Macarthur at 51%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
38. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Macarthur 2–1 Perth Glory
39. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Macarthur win: 51% at kick-off, 95% now
40. 88′THE CALL SWINGS · 88' Macarthur win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 5%)
41. 90′89′: J. Aspropotamitis on the scoresheet for Macarthur, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 96–4–0
42. 90′Goals are coming at about the 3.3 we expected. 2–1 · 96–4–0
43. 95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+5' R. Fraser · Macarthur
44. 96′Full time, 2–1. We called Macarthur at 51% — that one lands. 2–1 · 100–0–0
45. 96′🟨 YELLOW · 90+5' D. Bosnjak · Macarthur
46. FTFULL TIME Macarthur 2–1 Perth Glory
47. FTMacarthur 2–1 Perth Glory · Macarthur win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.