Western Sydney Wanderers W v Brisbane Roar FC W prediction · A-League Women

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Western Sydney Wanderers WDrawBrisbane Roar FC W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 04:15

Before kick-off · Match result · Brisbane Roar FC W 46%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Brisbane Roar FC W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Western Sydney Wanderers W 34%, draw 20%, Brisbane Roar FC W 46%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Western Sydney Wanderers W v Brisbane Roar FC WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Western Sydney Wanderers W win34%

Draw20%

Brisbane Roar FC W win46%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 04:15

RoundMatchday 2

VenueCommBank Stadium

RefereeC. Hollings

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Western Sydney Wanderers W

Brisbane Roar FC W

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · A-League Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Western Sydney Wanderers W	1	−1	0
11	Brisbane Roar FC W	1	−2	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · brisbane roar fc w winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Brisbane Roar FC W a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Western Sydney Wanderers W v Brisbane Roar FC W~~1.52 – 1.81

~~Form · A-League Women this season · since 17 Oct~~W0 D0 L1 · W0 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~10 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Brisbane Roar FC W win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Western Sydney Wanderers W win	34%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Brisbane Roar FC W win	46%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Western Sydney Wanderers W or draw	54%	–	–
Western Sydney Wanderers W clean sheet	17%	–	–
Brisbane Roar FC W clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.8%

0123450 2.8 7.6 5.9 3.6 1 6.6 8.8 8.6 5.2 2.4 2 4.2 7.3 6.5 3.9 3 2.2 3.7 3.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Western Sydney Wanderers W down, Brisbane Roar FC W across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 583 A-League Women matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: A-League Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Western Sydney Wanderers W at home: 0.67 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Brisbane Roar FC W away: 1.33 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.52 goals for Western Sydney Wanderers W, 1.81 for Brisbane Roar FC W. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~WES 1–1 BRI · BRI 0–1 WES · BRI 4–4 WES · WES 2–1 BRI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · A-League Women this season · since 17 Oct

WESTERN SYDNEY WANDERERS W

L0–1

BRISBANE ROAR FC W

L2–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Central Coast Mariners W	1	+2	3
2	Melbourne City W	1	+1	3
3	Melbourne Victory W	1	+1	3
4	Perth Glory FC W	1	+1	3
5	Adelaide United W	1	0	1
6	Sydney FC W	1	0	1
7	Canberra United W	0	0	0
8	Wellington Phoenix W	1	−1	0
9	Newcastle Jets FC W	1	−1	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers W	1	−1	0
11	Brisbane Roar FC W	1	−2	0