Newcastle Jets FC W v Perth Glory FC W prediction · A-League Women

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Newcastle Jets FC W 0–1 Perth Glory FC W NEWCASTLE JETS FC W WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Newcastle Jets FC W win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.684

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay0 notes · 9 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Newcastle Jets FC W win at 45%.
1′KICK-OFF Newcastle Jets FC W v Perth Glory FC W
13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Newcastle Jets FC W 0–1 Perth Glory FC W
13′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 13' Newcastle Jets FC W win: 45% at kick-off, 21% now
13′THE CALL SWINGS · 13' Perth Glory FC W win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Newcastle Jets FC W win 21%)
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Newcastle Jets FC W win: 45% at kick-off, 15% now
45′SECOND HALF Newcastle Jets FC W 0–1 Perth Glory FC W
47′HALF-TIME Newcastle Jets FC W 0–1 Perth Glory FC W
67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Newcastle Jets FC W win: 45% at kick-off, 5% now
FTFULL TIME Newcastle Jets FC W 0–1 Perth Glory FC W
FTNewcastle Jets FC W 0–1 Perth Glory FC W · Newcastle Jets FC W win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Newcastle Jets FC W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Newcastle Jets FC W 45%, draw 21%, Perth Glory FC W 34%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Newcastle Jets FC W v Perth Glory FC WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Newcastle Jets FC W win45%

Draw21%

Perth Glory FC W win34%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 05:00

RoundMatchday 1

VenueHunter City Motor Group Stadium

Line-ups

Newcastle Jets FC W

Perth Glory FC W

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Newcastle Jets FC W

Perth Glory FC W

195Days since last match197

Last match: 5 Apr · A-League Women

Last match: 3 Apr · A-League Women

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Newcastle Jets FC W	0	0	0
7	Perth Glory FC W	0	0	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Newcastle Jets FC W

Formation not confirmed

1 C. Henninger

6 C. Davis

4 N. Prior

23 Z. Karipidis

26 J. Allan

8 E. Dundas

7 A. Sandhu

10 L. Copus-Brown

11 A. Thornton

19 T. Levin

17 A. Klos

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · G. Ritchie

22 · P. Hooks

27 · C. Walandouw

32 · C. Adams

21 · A. Kilroy

20 · C. Valladares

16 · M. Preston-Poole

Perth Glory FC W

Formation not confirmed

21 A. Dall'Oste

3 E. Buchanan

5 B. Thew

29 O. Zogg

24 J. Sardo

8 G. Cassidy

6 E. Tovar

17 R. Badawiya

10 S. Phonsongkham

11 E. A. Massih

25 E. Lincoln

Coach · Stephen Peters

Substitutes

30 · D. McGreadie-Cole

2 · M. Anderson

19 · C. Westaway

12 · B. Trew

7 · M. Wynne

9 · M. Jenkins

18 · T. Mouithys

Our number · newcastle jets fc w winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Newcastle Jets FC W a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Newcastle Jets FC W v Perth Glory FC W~~1.73 – 1.47

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~3 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Newcastle Jets FC W win	45%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Perth Glory FC W win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	–	–
Newcastle Jets FC W or draw	66%	–	–
Newcastle Jets FC W clean sheet	24%	–	–
Perth Glory FC W clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.4%

0123450 3.4 7.1 4.5 2.2 1 8.1 9.4 7.4 3.7 2 6.1 8.7 6.3 3.1 3 3.6 5.0 3.6 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Newcastle Jets FC W down, Perth Glory FC W across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 578 A-League Women matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: A-League Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 5 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Newcastle Jets FC W at home: 1.50 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). Perth Glory FC W away: 1.33 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.73 goals for Newcastle Jets FC W, 1.47 for Perth Glory FC W. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 9

~~Both scored~~6 of 9

~~Last meetings~~NEW 2–3 PER · PER 1–0 NEW · NEW 2–1 PER · PER 3–2 NEW

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · A-League Women this season

NEWCASTLE JETS FC W

No matches in our record yet.

PERTH GLORY FC W

No matches in our record yet.

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Adelaide United W	0	0	0
2	Brisbane Roar FC W	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets FC W	0	0	0
4	Canberra United W	0	0	0
5	Sydney FC W	0	0	0
6	Melbourne Victory W	0	0	0
7	Perth Glory FC W	0	0	0
8	Western Sydney Wanderers W	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City W	0	0	0
10	Wellington Phoenix W	0	0	0
11	Central Coast Mariners W	0	0	0