Central Coast Mariners W v Canberra United W prediction · A-League Women

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Central Coast Mariners W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Central Coast Mariners W 48%, draw 23%, Canberra United W 29%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Central Coast Mariners W v Canberra United WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Central Coast Mariners W win48%

Draw23%

Canberra United W win29%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 05:00

RoundMatchday 2

RefereeC. Flynn

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Central Coast Mariners W

Canberra United W

7Days since last match182

Last match: 17 Oct · A-League Women

Last match: 25 Apr · A-League Women

1Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · central coast mariners w winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 18 Oct 02:03 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Central Coast Mariners W a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.2, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Central Coast Mariners W v Canberra United W~~1.56 – 1.15

~~Table places · points 3 v 0~~1 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Central Coast Mariners W win

Published at 47%, 48% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Central Coast Mariners W win	48%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Canberra United W win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Central Coast Mariners W or draw	71%	–	–
Central Coast Mariners W clean sheet	32%	–	–
Canberra United W clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.6%

0123450 5.7 8.9 4.5 1 11.6 10.6 6.7 2.6 2 8.0 9.0 5.2 2.0 3 4.2 4.7 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Central Coast Mariners W down, Canberra United W across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 583 A-League Women matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: A-League Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 2.57 goals a meeting; 4 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Central Coast Mariners W at home: 0.83 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Canberra United W away: 0.83 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.56 goals for Central Coast Mariners W, 1.15 for Canberra United W. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~2.57

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 7

~~Both scored~~5 of 7

~~Last meetings~~CEN 0–0 CAN · CAN 1–1 CEN · CEN 2–1 CAN · CAN 1–1 CEN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · A-League Women this season · since 17 Oct

CENTRAL COAST MARINERS W

W4–2

CANBERRA UNITED W

No matches in our record yet.

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Central Coast Mariners W	1	+2	3
2	Melbourne City W	1	+1	3
3	Melbourne Victory W	1	+1	3
4	Perth Glory FC W	1	+1	3
5	Adelaide United W	1	0	1
6	Sydney FC W	1	0	1
7	Canberra United W	0	0	0
8	Wellington Phoenix W	1	−1	0
9	Newcastle Jets FC W	1	−1	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers W	1	−1	0
11	Brisbane Roar FC W	1	−2	0