Brisbane Roar FC W v Sydney FC W prediction · A-League Women

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Brisbane Roar FC WDrawSydney FC W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 04:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Brisbane Roar FC W 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Brisbane Roar FC W are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Brisbane Roar FC W 43%, draw 22%, Sydney FC W 36%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Brisbane Roar FC W v Sydney FC WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Brisbane Roar FC W win43%

Draw22%

Sydney FC W win36%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 04:00

RoundMatchday 3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Brisbane Roar FC W

Sydney FC W

7Days since last match13

Last match: 24 Oct · A-League Women

Last match: 18 Oct · A-League Women

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Sydney FC W	1	0	1
10	Brisbane Roar FC W	2	−4	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · brisbane roar fc w winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Brisbane Roar FC W a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Brisbane Roar FC W v Sydney FC W~~1.64 – 1.47

~~Form · A-League Women this season · since 17 Oct~~W0 D0 L2 · W0 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 0 v 1~~10 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Brisbane Roar FC W win	43%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Sydney FC W win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
Brisbane Roar FC W or draw	64%	–	–
Brisbane Roar FC W clean sheet	24%	–	–
Sydney FC W clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.8%

0123450 3.9 7.6 4.9 2.4 1 8.3 9.8 7.7 3.8 2 6.0 8.5 6.2 3.1 3 3.3 4.7 3.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Brisbane Roar FC W down, Sydney FC W across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 587 A-League Women matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: A-League Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.11 goals a meeting; 5 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Brisbane Roar FC W at home: 2.67 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Sydney FC W away: 0.83 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.64 goals for Brisbane Roar FC W, 1.47 for Sydney FC W. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.11

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 9

~~Both scored~~4 of 9

~~Last meetings~~BRI 0–4 SYD · SYD 1–3 BRI · SYD 3–2 BRI · BRI 1–0 SYD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · A-League Women this season · since 17 Oct

BRISBANE ROAR FC W

LL2–4 · 1–3

SYDNEY FC W

D2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Central Coast Mariners W	2	+6	6
2	Perth Glory FC W	2	+1	4
3	Western Sydney Wanderers W	2	+1	3
4	Melbourne City W	1	+1	3
5	Melbourne Victory W	1	+1	3
6	Adelaide United W	2	0	2
7	Sydney FC W	1	0	1
8	Wellington Phoenix W	1	−1	0
9	Newcastle Jets FC W	1	−1	0
10	Brisbane Roar FC W	2	−4	0
11	Canberra United W	1	−4	0