Adelaide United W v Perth Glory FC W prediction · A-League Women

Full timeGraded 25 Oct 01:42

Adelaide United W 0–0 Perth Glory FC W ADELAIDE UNITED W WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Adelaide United W win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.907

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay0 notes · 9 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Adelaide United W win at 47%.
1′KICK-OFF Adelaide United W v Perth Glory FC W
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Adelaide United W win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
45′SECOND HALF Adelaide United W 0–0 Perth Glory FC W
47′HALF-TIME Adelaide United W 0–0 Perth Glory FC W
48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Adelaide United W win 37%)
64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Adelaide United W win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Adelaide United W win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Adelaide United W win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
FTFULL TIME Adelaide United W 0–0 Perth Glory FC W
FTAdelaide United W 0–0 Perth Glory FC W · Adelaide United W win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Adelaide United W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Adelaide United W 47%, draw 23%, Perth Glory FC W 30%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Adelaide United W v Perth Glory FC WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Adelaide United W win47%

Draw23%

Perth Glory FC W win30%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 07:00

RoundMatchday 2

VenueServiceFM Stadium

RefereeC. Williams

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Adelaide United W

Perth Glory FC W

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · A-League Women

Last match: 17 Oct · A-League Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Perth Glory FC W	1	+1	3
5	Adelaide United W	1	0	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · adelaide united w winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 18 Oct 02:03 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Adelaide United W a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.2, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Adelaide United W v Perth Glory FC W~~1.54 – 1.17

~~Form · A-League Women this season · since 17 Oct~~W0 D1 L0 · W1 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 1 v 3~~5 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Adelaide United W win

Published at 48%, 47% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Adelaide United W win	47%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Perth Glory FC W win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Adelaide United W or draw	70%	–	–
Adelaide United W clean sheet	31%	–	–
Perth Glory FC W clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.5%

0123450 5.8 9.1 4.6 1 11.5 10.6 6.9 2.7 2 7.8 8.9 5.2 2.1 3 4.1 4.6 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Adelaide United W down, Perth Glory FC W across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 583 A-League Women matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: A-League Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.80 goals a meeting; 7 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Adelaide United W at home: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Perth Glory FC W away: 1.33 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.54 goals for Adelaide United W, 1.17 for Perth Glory FC W. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.80

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~ADE 2–1 PER · PER 1–0 ADE · ADE 3–0 PER · PER 3–1 ADE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · A-League Women this season · since 17 Oct

ADELAIDE UNITED W

D2–2

PERTH GLORY FC W

W1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Central Coast Mariners W	1	+2	3
2	Melbourne City W	1	+1	3
3	Melbourne Victory W	1	+1	3
4	Perth Glory FC W	1	+1	3
5	Adelaide United W	1	0	1
6	Sydney FC W	1	0	1
7	Canberra United W	0	0	0
8	Wellington Phoenix W	1	−1	0
9	Newcastle Jets FC W	1	−1	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers W	1	−1	0
11	Brisbane Roar FC W	1	−2	0