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Model 1.2

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Estrella v La Fama

Estrella
00:30Upcoming
La Fama

Division di Honor · SAT 31 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

EstrellaDrawLa Fama
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 00:30
Before kick-off · Match result · La Fama 77%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

La Fama are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Estrella 12%, draw 12%, La Fama 77%. Over 2.5 goals 85%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Estrella v La FamaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Estrella win12%
Draw12%
La Fama win77%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 00:30

RoundMatchday 2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Estrella

La Fama

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Division di Honor

Last match: 25 Oct · Division di Honor

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Estrella101
6La Fama1−10

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · la fama winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · updated 25 Oct 02:13 · locked at kick-off
77% The market–
Us77%

We make La Fama a 77% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–3.7, and 1–3 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Estrella v La Fama1.28 – 3.69
Form · Division di Honor this season · since 24 OctW0 D1 L0 · W0 D0 L1
Table places · points 1 v 04 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
75%80% 25 OCT 01:4525 OCT 07:06
Our probability · La Fama win

Published at 78%, 77% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Estrella win12%––
Draw12%––
La Fama win77%––
Over 2.5 goals85%––
Both teams to score68%––
Over 1.5 goals95%––
Over 3.5 goals70%––
Estrella or draw23%––
Estrella clean sheet4%––
La Fama clean sheet30%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–3 at 6.6%
0123450 3.0 4.9 5.5 4.9 3.71 4.0 6.1 6.6 5.6 4.12 2.7 4.1 4.3 3.5 2.53 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Estrella down, La Fama across0–5 goals a side shown (80.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2020
Goals a meeting4.22
Over 2.58 of 9
Both scored7 of 9
Last meetingsLAF 2–1 EST · EST 1–2 LAF · EST 1–2 LAF · LAF 4–1 EST

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Division di Honor this season · since 24 Oct

ESTRELLA

D1–1

LA FAMA

L0–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Bubali1+13
2Dakota101
3RCA101
4Estrella101
5River Plate101
6La Fama1−10

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.