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Model 1.2

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Caiquetio v Sporting

Caiquetio
00:00Upcoming
Sporting

Division di Honor · MON 26 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

CaiquetioDrawSporting
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 00:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Sporting 61%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sporting are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Caiquetio 20%, draw 20%, Sporting 61%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Caiquetio v SportingBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 09:22 · locked at kick-off

Caiquetio win20%
Draw20%
Sporting win61%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 00:00

RoundMatchday 1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Caiquetio

Sporting

135Days since last match100

Last match: 13 June · Division di Honor

Last match: 18 July · Division di Honor

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sporting winFirst published 23 Oct 09:22 · locked at kick-off
61% The market–
Us61%

We make Sporting a 61% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–2.2, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Caiquetio v Sporting1.11 – 2.22

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Caiquetio win20%––
Draw20%––
Sporting win61%––
Over 2.5 goals63%––
Both teams to score56%––
Over 1.5 goals83%––
Over 3.5 goals42%––
Caiquetio or draw39%––
Caiquetio clean sheet13%––
Sporting clean sheet36%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 8.8%
0123450 4.5 8.3 8.8 6.5 3.8 1 4.1 8.6 8.6 6.2 3.5 2 2.5 4.9 4.9 3.4 3 2.1 2.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Caiquetio down, Sporting across0–5 goals a side shown (96.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Division di Honor this season

CAIQUETIO

No matches in our record yet.

SPORTING

No matches in our record yet.

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Estrella101
2River Plate101

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.