Syunik v BKMA prediction · Premier League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

SyunikDrawBKMA

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:30

Before kick-off · Match result · BKMA 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

BKMA are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Syunik 34%, draw 26%, BKMA 40%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Syunik v BKMABefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Syunik win34%

Draw26%

BKMA win40%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 11:30

RoundMatchday 11

VenueSisian City Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Syunik

BKMA

9Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · Premier League (Armenia)

Last match: 18 Oct · Premier League (Armenia)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	BKMA	10	−8	8
11	Syunik	10	−16	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bkma winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make BKMA a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Syunik v BKMA~~1.23 – 1.34

~~Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 30 Aug~~W1 D1 L4 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 5 v 8~~11 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Syunik win	34%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
BKMA win	40%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	72%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Syunik or draw	60%	–	–
Syunik clean sheet	27%	–	–
BKMA clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.1%

0123450 8.1 10.4 6.9 3.2 1 9.5 12.1 8.0 3.6 2 5.8 7.4 4.9 2.2 3 2.5 3.2 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Syunik down, BKMA across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 877 Premier League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.8% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 1.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Syunik at home: 1.00 scored, 0.00 conceded a game (last 2). BKMA away: 0.83 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.23 goals for Syunik, 1.34 for BKMA. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~1.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~SYU 0–1 BKM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 30 Aug

SYUNIK

LDLLWL1–3 · 0–0 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 1–5

BKMA

WWLDLL3–0 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 0–5 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC Noah	10	+20	28
2	Pyunik Yerevan	11	+18	25
3	Ararat-Armenia	10	+10	23
4	Alashkert	11	+17	22
5	FC Urartu	11	+5	16
6	Sardarapat	11	−1	16
7	Shirak	11	−2	11
8	Ararat	11	−8	11
9	Van	11	−17	10
10	BKMA	10	−8	8
11	Syunik	10	−16	5
12	Gandzasar	11	−18	3