Pyunik Yerevan v FC Urartu prediction · Premier League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Pyunik YerevanDrawFC Urartu

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Pyunik Yerevan 55%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Pyunik Yerevan are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Pyunik Yerevan 55%, draw 24%, FC Urartu 22%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Pyunik Yerevan v FC UrartuBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Pyunik Yerevan win55%

Draw24%

FC Urartu win22%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 12

VenueJunior Sport Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Pyunik Yerevan

FC Urartu

7Days since last match8

Last match: 23 Oct · Premier League (Armenia)

Last match: 22 Oct · Premier League (Armenia)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Pyunik Yerevan	11	+18	25
5	FC Urartu	11	+5	16

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · pyunik yerevan winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

55% The market–

Us55%

We make Pyunik Yerevan a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Pyunik Yerevan v FC Urartu~~1.74 – 0.98

~~Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 6 Sept~~W4 D2 L0 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 25 v 16~~2 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Pyunik Yerevan win	55%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
FC Urartu win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Pyunik Yerevan or draw	78%	–	–
Pyunik Yerevan clean sheet	38%	–	–
FC Urartu clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.6%

0123450 7.0 6.7 3.3 1 11.6 11.0 5.4 2 9.8 9.3 4.6 3 5.7 5.4 2.6 4 2.6 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Pyunik Yerevan down, FC Urartu across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 877 Premier League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.8% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.10 goals a meeting; 7 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Pyunik Yerevan at home: 2.83 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). FC Urartu away: 1.00 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.74 goals for Pyunik Yerevan, 0.98 for FC Urartu. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.10

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~FCU 2–2 PYU · PYU 2–1 FCU · FCU 1–1 PYU · PYU 1–2 FCU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 6 Sept

PYUNIK YEREVAN

WWDWDW4–2 · 2–0 · 3–3 · 5–0 · 1–1 · 3–0

FC URARTU

LLWDWD1–2 · 0–3 · 3–0 · 2–2 · 5–2 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC Noah	10	+20	28
2	Pyunik Yerevan	11	+18	25
3	Ararat-Armenia	10	+10	23
4	Alashkert	10	+16	19
5	FC Urartu	11	+5	16
6	Sardarapat	11	−1	16
7	Shirak	10	−1	11
8	Ararat	11	−8	11
9	Van	11	−17	10
10	BKMA	10	−8	8
11	Syunik	10	−16	5
12	Gandzasar	11	−18	3