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Pyunik Yerevan v BKMA

Pyunik Yerevan
5–0Full time
BKMA

Premier League · MON 12 OCT · Junior Sport Stadium

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 18:49
Pyunik Yerevan 5–0 BKMA PYUNIK YEREVAN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Pyunik Yerevan win67%
The market said76%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.167
The market’s Brier score0.085

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 58 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Pyunik Yerevan win at 67%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Pyunik Yerevan was 67% before kick-off and our model makes it 67% now. 0–0 · 67–20–13
  3. 3′1′ and it is 1–0: Pyunik Yerevan have scored. 1–0 · 87–9–3
  4. 5′We published Pyunik Yerevan at 67%. Our model now makes it 87%. 1–0 · 87–9–3
  5. 23′A red card for BKMA on 24′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–0 · 87–10–3
  6. 23′🟥 RED CARD · 23' Pyunik Yerevan
  7. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Pyunik Yerevan win: 67% at kick-off, 87% now
  8. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Pyunik Yerevan win: 67% at kick-off, 87% now
  9. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Pyunik Yerevan 2–0 BKMA · G. Tarakhchyan
  10. 24′🟥 RED CARD · 24' Pyunik Yerevan
  11. 25′Pyunik Yerevan ahead on 24′ through S. Islamovic. 2–0. 2–0 · 97–2–0
  12. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Pyunik Yerevan win: 67% at kick-off, 87% now
  13. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Pyunik Yerevan win: 67% at kick-off, 97% now
  14. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Pyunik Yerevan win: 67% at kick-off, 97% now
  15. 27′We published Pyunik Yerevan at 67%. Our model now makes it 97%. 2–0 · 97–2–0
  16. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Pyunik Yerevan win: 67% at kick-off, 97% now
  17. 28′A goal for Pyunik Yerevan on 29′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 97–2–0
  18. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Pyunik Yerevan win: 67% at kick-off, 97% now
  19. 28′⚽ GOAL · 29' Pyunik Yerevan 2–0 BKMA
  20. 29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Pyunik Yerevan 3–0 BKMA · S. Islamovic
  21. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Pyunik Yerevan win: 67% at kick-off, 97% now
  22. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 30' Pyunik Yerevan win: 67% at kick-off, 97% now
  23. 31′We published Pyunik Yerevan at 67%. Our model now makes it 100%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  24. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Pyunik Yerevan win: 67% at kick-off, 97% now
  25. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Pyunik Yerevan win: 67% at kick-off, 100% now
  26. 32′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  27. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Pyunik Yerevan win: 67% at kick-off, 100% now
  28. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Pyunik Yerevan win: 67% at kick-off, 100% now
  29. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Pyunik Yerevan win: 67% at kick-off, 100% now
  30. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Pyunik Yerevan win: 67% at kick-off, 100% now
  31. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Pyunik Yerevan win: 67% at kick-off, 100% now
  32. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Pyunik Yerevan win: 67% at kick-off, 100% now
  33. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Pyunik Yerevan win: 67% at kick-off, 100% now
  34. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Pyunik Yerevan win: 67% at kick-off, 100% now
  35. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Pyunik Yerevan win: 67% at kick-off, 100% now
  36. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Pyunik Yerevan win: 67% at kick-off, 100% now
  37. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Pyunik Yerevan win: 67% at kick-off, 100% now
  38. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Pyunik Yerevan win: 67% at kick-off, 100% now
  39. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Pyunik Yerevan win: 67% at kick-off, 100% now
  40. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Pyunik Yerevan win: 67% at kick-off, 100% now
  41. 45′SECOND HALF Pyunik Yerevan 3–0 BKMA
  42. 46′⚽ GOAL · 47' Pyunik Yerevan 3–0 BKMA
  43. 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Pyunik Yerevan 4–0 BKMA · M. Kovalenko
  44. 52′SUBSTITUTION · 46' BKMA · On: Z. Ashikyan · Off: H. Manukyan
  45. 52′SUBSTITUTION · 46' BKMA · On: K. Hovakimyan · Off: S. Movsisyan
  46. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Pyunik Yerevan 4–0 BKMA · M. Kovalenko
  47. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 53' BKMA
  48. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Pyunik Yerevan 4–0 BKMA
  49. 61′⚽ GOAL · 62' Pyunik Yerevan 4–0 BKMA
  50. 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Pyunik Yerevan 5–0 BKMA · D. Kulikov
  51. 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Pyunik Yerevan 5–0 BKMA · I. Pikis
  52. 71′⚽ GOAL · 1' Pyunik Yerevan 5–0 BKMA · G. Tarakhchyan
  53. 71′🟥 RED CARD · 24' A. Askaryan · BKMA
  54. 71′⚽ GOAL · 24' Pyunik Yerevan 5–0 BKMA · S. Islamovic
  55. 71′⚽ GOAL · 29' Pyunik Yerevan 5–0 BKMA · M. Kovalenko
  56. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 46' BKMA · On: A. Petrosyan · Off: M. Asiryan
  57. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 46' BKMA · On: K. Hovakimyan · Off: S. Movsisyan
  58. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 46' BKMA · On: Z. Ashikyan · Off: H. Manukyan
  59. 71′🟨 YELLOW · 53' D. Dokhoyan · BKMA
  60. 71′⚽ GOAL · 53' Pyunik Yerevan 5–0 BKMA · D. Kulikov
  61. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Pyunik Yerevan · On: A. Dashyan · Off: D. Kulikov
  62. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Pyunik Yerevan · On: H. Harutyunyan · Off: G. Tarakhchyan
  63. 71′⚽ GOAL · 62' Pyunik Yerevan 5–0 BKMA · I. Pikis
  64. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Pyunik Yerevan · On: A. Grigoryan · Off: I. Pikis
  65. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Pyunik Yerevan · On: E. Malakyan · Off: D. Hakobyan
  66. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 76' BKMA · On: H. Ghukasyan · Off: A. Khachatryan
  67. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Pyunik Yerevan
  68. FTFULL TIME Pyunik Yerevan 5–0 BKMA
  69. FTPyunik Yerevan 5–0 BKMA · Pyunik Yerevan win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 16:02 · locked at kick-off

Pyunik Yerevan win67%
Draw20%
BKMA win13%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 16:00

VenueJunior Sport Stadium

Line-ups

Pyunik Yerevan

BKMA

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Pyunik Yerevan

BKMA

23Days since last match23
0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Pyunik Yerevan8+1018
9BKMA8−28

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Pyunik Yerevan

Formation not confirmed

16 H. Avagyan

15 M. Kovalenko

3 N. Kenourgios

76 F. Almeida

5 James Santos

25 D. Kulikov

22 S. Islamovic

8 G. Tarakhchyan

29 I. Pikis

28 Witi

20 D. Hakobyan

Coach · Artak Oseyan

Substitutes

71 · S. Buchnev

19 · S. Metoyan

7 · E. Malakyan

9 · A. Dashyan

88 · R. Darbinyan

17 · V. Afyan

10 · I. Griffith

– · S. Alfred

11 · H. Harutyunyan

– · A. Teribe

– · A. Rakhimov

37 · A. Grigoryan

BKMA

Formation not confirmed

12 A. Davidov

6 A. Petrosyan

14 P. Krmzyan

21 D. Dokhoyan

29 A. Askaryan

8 S. Movsisyan

2 A. Khachatryan

11 D. Davtyan

10 D. Harutyunyan

47 H. Manukyan

23 M. Asiryan

Coach · Armen Gyulbudaghyants

Substitutes

9 · A. Petrosyan

3 · A. Movsesyan

20 · Z. Ashikyan

4 · S. Harutyunyan

81 · H. Ghukasyan

43 · A. Manukyan

13 · A. Sargsyan

– · Viarinikyan

51 · S. Kirakosyan

5 · K. Hovakimyan

Our number · pyunik yerevan winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · locked at kick-off
67% The market76%
Us67%
Market76%

We make Pyunik Yerevan a 67% chance to win. The market has them at 76%. We are 10 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–0.7.

How the number movedSince we published
65%70%75%80% 9 OCT 06:1712 OCT 14:35
Our probability · pyunik yerevan win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 76% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Pyunik Yerevan win67%76%−10
Draw20%15%+5
BKMA win13%8%+5
Over 2.5 goals51%62%−11
Both teams to score44%45%−1
Over 1.5 goals75%82%−7
Over 3.5 goals30%41%−11
Pyunik Yerevan or draw87%92%−5
Pyunik Yerevan clean sheet48%––
BKMA clean sheet14%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.1%
0123450 6.7 5.0 1 13.1 9.2 3.5 2 12.7 9.1 3.4 3 8.5 6.1 2.3 4 4.4 3.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Pyunik Yerevan down, BKMA across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

18 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting2.89
Over 2.512 of 18
Both scored10 of 18
Last meetingsPYU 2–0 BKM · BKM 1–2 PYU · PYU 2–1 BKM · PYU 1–2 BKM

Form · last six in Premier League

PYUNIK YEREVAN

WWDWWD2–0 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 4–2 · 2–0 · 3–3

BKMA

LLWWLD1–2 · 0–1 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1FC Noah9+2027
2Ararat-Armenia9+920
3Pyunik Yerevan8+1018
4Alashkert9+1216
5FC Urartu9+212
6Sardarapat9−212
7Shirak8+110
8Ararat9−710
9BKMA8−28
10Van9−157
11Gandzasar9−143
12Syunik8−142

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.