Gandzasar v Sardarapat

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sardarapat win at 49%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Sardarapat was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 27–24–49
3. 1′KICK-OFF Gandzasar v Sardarapat
4. 19′Gandzasar find the net on 19′. 0–0 · 27–27–46
5. 20′We said Sardarapat at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 22%. 1–0 · 54–24–22
6. 20′⚽ GOAL · 19' Gandzasar 1–0 Sardarapat
7. 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' Sardarapat win: 49% at kick-off, 22% now
8. 20′THE CALL SWINGS · 20' Gandzasar win is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Sardarapat win 22%)
9. 28′We said Sardarapat at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 56–25–19
10. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Sardarapat win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
11. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 1–0 · 56–25–19
12. 38′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Gandzasar
13. 42′PENALTY MISSED · 42' Sardarapat
14. 43′We said Sardarapat at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 60–25–14
15. 45′HALF-TIME Gandzasar 1–0 Sardarapat
16. 46′SECOND HALF Gandzasar 1–0 Sardarapat
17. 51′A goal for Sardarapat on 50′. 1–0 · 63–25–12
18. 52′We said Sardarapat at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 36%. 1–1 · 23–41–36
19. 52′⚽ GOAL · 50' Gandzasar 1–1 Sardarapat
20. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Sardarapat win: 49% at kick-off, 36% now
21. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Gandzasar win 23%)
22. 56′Sardarapat find the net on 56′. 1–1 · 22–43–35
23. 57′We said Sardarapat at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 22–44–34
24. 57′We published Sardarapat at 49%. Our model now makes it 78%. 1–2 · 4–17–78
25. 57′⚽ GOAL · 56' Gandzasar 1–2 Sardarapat
26. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' Sardarapat win: 49% at kick-off, 78% now
27. 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Sardarapat win is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Draw 17%)
28. 58′That is 3, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 4–17–78
29. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Sardarapat win: 49% at kick-off, 79% now
30. 62′We published Sardarapat at 49%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–2 · 4–17–80
31. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Sardarapat
32. 73′We published Sardarapat at 49%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–2 · 2–14–85
33. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Sardarapat win: 49% at kick-off, 89% now
34. 81′We published Sardarapat at 49%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–2 · 1–9–90
35. 82′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Sardarapat
36. 85′A red card for Gandzasar on 85′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–2 · 0–6–93
37. 85′🟥 RED CARD · 85' Gandzasar
38. 87′We published Sardarapat at 49%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–2 · 0–5–95
39. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 82' G. Abrahamyan · Sardarapat
40. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Sardarapat win: 49% at kick-off, 99% now
41. FTFULL TIME Gandzasar 1–2 Sardarapat
42. FTGandzasar 1–2 Sardarapat · Sardarapat win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.