FC Urartu v Van

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Urartu win at 63%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: FC Urartu was 63% before kick-off and our model makes it 63% now. 0–0 · 63–20–16
3. 1′KICK-OFF FC Urartu v Van
4. 6′Much as we predicted: FC Urartu was 63% before kick-off and our model makes it 62% now. 0–0 · 62–22–17
5. 17′Van find the net on 17′. 0–1. 0–1 · 33–26–41
6. 17′⚽ GOAL · 17' FC Urartu 0–1 Van
7. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 17' FC Urartu win: 63% at kick-off, 33% now
8. 17′THE CALL SWINGS · 17' Van win is now our likeliest result at 41% (was FC Urartu win 33%)
9. 18′We said FC Urartu at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 0–1 · 33–26–41
10. 24′A goal for FC Urartu on 24′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 57–26–17
11. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' FC Urartu 1–1 Van
12. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' FC Urartu win: 63% at kick-off, 57% now
13. 24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' FC Urartu win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Van win 17%)
14. 32′🟨 YELLOW · 32' Van
15. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' FC Urartu win: 63% at kick-off, 53% now
16. 40′We said FC Urartu at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 51%. 1–1 · 51–32–16
17. 44′We said FC Urartu at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 49–34–16
18. 45′HALF-TIME FC Urartu 1–1 Van
19. 46′SECOND HALF FC Urartu 1–1 Van
20. 48′🟨 YELLOW · 48' Van
21. 49′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 1–1 · 47–37–16
22. 53′We said FC Urartu at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–40–16
23. 55′FC Urartu score on 54′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 85–13–2
24. 55′We published FC Urartu at 63%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
25. 55′⚽ GOAL · 54' FC Urartu 2–1 Van
26. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' FC Urartu win: 63% at kick-off, 85% now
27. 56′Van find the net on 56′. 2–2. 2–2 · 43–42–15
28. 56′4 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 43–42–15
29. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' FC Urartu 2–2 Van
30. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' FC Urartu win: 63% at kick-off, 43% now
31. 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was FC Urartu win 40%)
32. 61′We said FC Urartu at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 2–2 · 39–47–14
33. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 61' FC Urartu
34. 64′A goal for FC Urartu on 64′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 86–12–2
35. 64′We published FC Urartu at 63%. Our model now makes it 86%. 3–2 · 86–12–2
36. 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' FC Urartu 3–2 Van
37. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' FC Urartu win: 63% at kick-off, 86% now
38. 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' FC Urartu win is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Draw 12%)
39. 65′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 87–12–2
40. 75′We published FC Urartu at 63%. Our model now makes it 90%. 3–2 · 90–9–1
41. 80′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Van
42. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' FC Urartu win: 63% at kick-off, 93% now
43. 84′We published FC Urartu at 63%. Our model now makes it 95%. 3–2 · 95–5–0
44. 87′FC Urartu score on 87′ to make it 4–2. 4–2 · 100–0–0
45. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' FC Urartu 4–2 Van
46. 88′We published FC Urartu at 63%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 4–2 · 100–0–0
47. 88′6 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 4–2 · 100–0–0
48. 90′FC Urartu find the net on 90′. 5–2. 5–2 · 100–0–0
49. 90′That is 7, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 5–2 · 100–0–0
50. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' FC Urartu
51. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' FC Urartu 5–2 Van
52. FTFULL TIME FC Urartu 5–2 Van
53. FTFC Urartu 5–2 Van · FC Urartu win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.