Ararat v Shirak

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Ararat win at 40%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Ararat was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 40–27–33
3. 1′KICK-OFF Ararat v Shirak
4. 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Ararat win 33%)
5. 41′Ararat find the net on 41′. 0–0 · 33–40–27
6. 43′We published Ararat at 40%. Our model now makes it 73%. 1–0 · 73–20–7
7. 43′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 73–20–7
8. 43′⚽ GOAL · 41' Ararat 1–0 Shirak
9. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Ararat win: 40% at kick-off, 73% now
10. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Ararat win is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Draw 20%)
11. 45′HALF-TIME Ararat 1–0 Shirak
12. 46′SECOND HALF Ararat 1–0 Shirak
13. 49′We published Ararat at 40%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–20–6
14. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Ararat · On: M. Kante · Off: A. Grigoryan
15. 64′A goal for Ararat on 63′. 1–0 · 80–17–3
16. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Ararat win: 40% at kick-off, 80% now
17. 65′We published Ararat at 40%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
18. 69′A goal for Shirak on 69′. 1–0 · 82–15–2
19. 72′We said Ararat at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–65–16
20. 72′⚽ GOAL · 69' Ararat 1–1 Shirak · H. Mnatsakanyan
21. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Ararat win: 40% at kick-off, 19% now
22. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Draw is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Ararat win 19%)
23. 75′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Ararat
24. 78′We said Ararat at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–74–12
25. 80′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Ararat
26. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Shirak
27. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Ararat win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
28. 83′We said Ararat at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–84–8
29. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Shirak
30. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Shirak
31. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Ararat
32. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Shirak
33. 90′We said Ararat at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
34. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+4' Shirak
35. 96′🟨 YELLOW · 90+6' Ararat
36. FTFULL TIME Ararat 1–1 Shirak
37. FTArarat 1–1 Shirak · Ararat win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.