Sardarapat 2 v Banants II prediction · First League

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 15:01

Sardarapat 2 2–0 Banants II BANANTS II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Banants II win~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.766

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Sardarapat 2 v Banants IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 12:01 · locked at kick-off

Sardarapat 2 win30%

Draw22%

Banants II win48%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 12:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Sardarapat 2

Banants II

6Days since last match6

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Banants II	8	-6	8
14	Sardarapat 2	8	-12	3

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · banants ii winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 12:01 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Banants II a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sardarapat 2 v Banants II~~1.40 – 1.85

~~Last six in First League~~W0 D0 L6 · W1 D4 L1

~~Table places · points 3 v 8~~14 v 10

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sardarapat 2 win	30%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Banants II win	48%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
Sardarapat 2 or draw	52%	–	–
Sardarapat 2 clean sheet	17%	–	–
Banants II clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.7%

0123450 4.2 7.6 6.6 4.1 1 5.9 9.7 8.7 5.3 2.6 2 4.0 6.8 6.0 3.7 3 3.2 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sardarapat 2 down, Banants II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 958 First League matches up to 14 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

First League matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.2% of games this season, across 59 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting between these two, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Sardarapat 2 at home: 0.33 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 3). Banants II away: 1.00 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.40 goals for Sardarapat 2, 1.85 for Banants II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in First League since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in First League

SARDARAPAT 2

LLLLLL1–2 · 0–1 · 0–4 · 2–4 · 0–1 · 2–3

BANANTS II

DWLDDD2–2 · 3–2 · 0–5 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Olympia Yerevan	8	16	22
2	Andranik	9	13	19
3	BKMA II	8	10	16
4	Bentonit Ijevan	8	9	15
5	Araks Ararat	8	6	15
6	Lernayin Artsakh	8	1	12
7	Pyunik II	9	-2	11
8	Mika	9	-2	11
9	Shirak II	7	-5	10
10	Banants II	8	-6	8
11	Ararat II	6	-3	6
12	Noah II	9	-15	6
13	Ararat-Armenia II	9	-10	5
14	Sardarapat 2	8	-12	3