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Pyunik II v Shirak II

Pyunik II

1–2Full time

Shirak II

First League · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 16:01

Pyunik II 1–2 Shirak II PYUNIK II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Pyunik II win~~64%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.111

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Pyunik II win64%

Draw18%

Shirak II win18%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 12:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · pyunik ii winPublished 9 Oct 15:51

64% The market–

Us64%

We make Pyunik II a 64% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Pyunik II win	64%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Shirak II win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	–	–
Pyunik II or draw	82%	–	–
Pyunik II clean sheet	33%	–	–
Shirak II clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.0%

0123450 3.3 3.9 2.1 1 7.5 8.0 4.6 2 8.3 9.0 5.2 2.1 3 6.4 7.0 4.0 4 3.9 4.2 2.4 5 2.1

under 2% 5% 12%+Pyunik II down, Shirak II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 954 First League matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

First League matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.1% of games this season, across 55 played.

Head to head

9 previous meetings, 2.33 goals a meeting; 5 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Pyunik II at home: 1.00 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Shirak II away: 0.67 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.37 goals for Pyunik II, 1.14 for Shirak II. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~2.33

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 9

~~Both scored~~4 of 9

~~Last meetings~~SHI 0–1 PYU · PYU 0–0 SHI · SHI 2–2 PYU · PYU 3–1 SHI

Form · last six in First League

PYUNIK II

DDWLLL2–2 · 3–3 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 1–2

SHIRAK II

LLDWLW0–1 · 0–4 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Andranik	9	+15	19
2	Olympia Yerevan	7	+13	19
3	BKMA II	8	+10	16
4	Bentonit Ijevan	8	+9	15
5	Araks Ararat	7	+4	12
6	Lernayin Artsakh	8	+1	12
7	Mika	8	−1	11
8	Pyunik II	8	−1	11
9	Ararat II	7	0	9
10	Banants II	8	−6	8
11	Shirak II	6	−6	7
12	Noah II	8	−12	6
13	Ararat-Armenia II	8	−8	5
14	Sardarapat 2	8	−12	3
15	Hayq	2	−6	0