Pyunik II v Olympia Yerevan prediction · First League

Full timeGraded 20 Oct 15:01

Pyunik II 1–1 Olympia Yerevan OLYMPIA YEREVAN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Olympia Yerevan win~~51%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.956

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Olympia Yerevan are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Pyunik II 27%, draw 21%, Olympia Yerevan 51%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Pyunik II v Olympia YerevanBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off

Pyunik II win27%

Draw21%

Olympia Yerevan win51%

Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 12:30

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Pyunik II

Olympia Yerevan

11Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Oct · First League (Armenia)

Last match: 13 Oct · First League (Armenia)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · olympia yerevan winFirst published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Olympia Yerevan a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Pyunik II v Olympia Yerevan~~1.33 – 1.94

~~Form · last six in First League this season · since 13 Aug~~W1 D1 L4 · W6 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 11 v 22~~7 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Pyunik II win	27%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Olympia Yerevan win	51%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
Pyunik II or draw	49%	–	–
Pyunik II clean sheet	16%	–	–
Olympia Yerevan clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.4%

0123450 4.1 7.9 7.1 4.6 2.3 1 5.5 9.4 8.9 5.7 2.9 2 3.5 6.3 5.8 3.7 3 2.9 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Pyunik II down, Olympia Yerevan across0–5 goals a side shown (97.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 963 First League matches up to 19 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: First League matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.9% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Pyunik II at home: 1.17 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Olympia Yerevan away: 2.67 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.33 goals for Pyunik II, 1.94 for Olympia Yerevan. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in First League this season · since 13 Aug

PYUNIK II

DWLLLL3–3 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 1–2

OLYMPIA YEREVAN

WWWWWW3–0 · 4–1 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 3–0 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Olympia Yerevan	8	+16	22
2	Andranik	10	+14	22
3	BKMA II	9	+11	19
4	Bentonit Ijevan	8	+9	15
5	Araks Ararat	8	+6	15
6	Lernayin Artsakh	9	−3	12
7	Pyunik II	9	−2	11
8	Mika	9	−2	11
9	Shirak II	8	−6	10
10	Ararat II	8	+1	10
11	Banants II	10	−9	8
12	Ararat-Armenia II	10	−10	6
13	Noah II	9	−15	6
14	Sardarapat 2	9	−10	6